What do we have in Darrell Henderson?

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CGI_Ram

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Lost in all the Gurley health debate is; what exactly do we have in Darrell Henderson behind him?

His rookie year, didn’t answer that question. So, backup RB is also a bit of an unknown going into 2020.

I wish we saw more rushing attempts last year.


Los Angeles Rams RB Darrell Henderson is destined for stardom

Just one offseason ago, everything was all good for the Los Angeles Rams.

They just competed in the Super Bowl, the team was spearheaded by superstar Head Coach Sean McVay, the roster was loaded with talent at all positions, and the franchise was poised to make another deep playoff run in the 2020 NFL Season.

Obviously, things didn’t work out as planned for the Rams as they managed a 9-7 record and missed the playoffs altogether.

In the 2019 NFL Draft, the Rams pinpointed Memphis Tigers RB Darrell Henderson as a guy they were clearly high on, and somebody they had major interest in adding to an already explosive and potent offense. That’s when the Rams packaged two third-round draft picks to move up to the 70th-overall pick in the third round, which they then used to select Henderson.

Henderson’s rookie season didn’t go as planned with the runner touching the ball only 43 times throughout the season, though his per-touch efficiency suggested Henderson deserved much more usage throughout.

Let’s review Henderson’s rookie season in-depth (stats from Pro Football Reference):

Rushing yards:
147 yards

1st downs:
10

Yards before contact/attempt:
2.2 yards

Yards after contact/attempt:
1.6 yards

Rush attempts per broken tackles:
5.6 attempts

The stats aren’t mind-blowing or eye-popping, though one of these stats above prove just how productive Henderson was, and how much talent oozes out of college football’s most explosive runner: the 5.6 rush attempts per broken tackle statistic. Out of all RB’s with 20+ carries this past season, Henderson broke tackles at the highest rate in the league.

Yes, you read that correctly.

Henderson needed 5.6 rushing attempts for every broken tackle of his, and that figure was good enough to place him at first place in the league. Ironically enough, teammate Malcolm Brown came in at second in the NFL, which proves just how tough the duo is and how much they can create post-contact.

Henderson didn’t receive a ton of work, leaving us with only a small sample size to evaluate, though the talent was visible every time #27 touched the field. The rookie surely had some rookie mistakes (like the fumbled pitch against the San Francisco 49ers), but still proved to be an effective RB with a ton of burst, acceleration, and contact balance.

Using Warren Sharp’s Sharp Football Stats, we can further break down Henderson’s performance with charts displaying his success rate by direction (top-left chart), comparing it to the league average success rate by direction (bottom-left chart), and Henderson’s success rate over the average (chart on the right).

As you can see below, Henderson was most productive behind RG, LT, and the far boundaries to the right and left, in that order. Comparing that to the league average, Hendo was far more productive running behind RG and LT, slightly more productive on boundary runs to the left, and far less productive behind RT and to the right boundary.

hendo_1.png


Some of these stats are more indicative than others, though it’s hard to come to any conclusion based off the small sample size. For example, I used the same directional charts for teammate RB Todd Gurley, and ironically enough, Gurley also struggled mightily running behind RT and to the right boundary, yet had plenty of success behind RG. These charts display a lot of where the Rams were productive — and lack thereof — along the offensive line.

Looking at this chart below, you can compare the rushing success rate by down between the trio of Rams running backs:

hendo_2.png


As you can see, Henderson was by far the most productive on first downs, yet the least productive on second and third downs (tied with Brown). In total (far right), Henderson actually had the greatest success rate of all the runners coming in at 47%, just nearly edging out Gurley.

You’re probably asking what the hell all of this means and why it’s relevant... well, let me explain.

Henderson’s lack of usage makes it incredibly hard to pinpoint any one conclusion, but we can attempt to extrapolate his usage and make a far more educated guess on his potential impact moving forward because of these in-depth stats and his per-touch efficiency. Henderson didn’t touch the ball much, but when he did, he proved to be a weapon capable of making guys miss (and often).

It’s hard to come to any further conclusions than that, but Henderson was the most explosive CFB running back in his final year in college (and even his sophomore season) when he averaged 8.9-yards-per-rushing attempt and totaled 22 rushing touchdowns.

The Rams have had trouble — particularly with Gurley — breaking off long runs and scoring long rushing touchdowns on the ground, though Henderson has shown plenty of ability in that regard, which is likely why the Rams elected to pursue his talents even after handing Gurley a massive contract extension and re-signing Brown after the Detroit Lions attempted to vulture him.

The best idea moving forward is to continue to scale back Gurley’s workload (or potentially offload him if possible), and to increase Henderson’s workload tenfold, both as a runner and a receiver out of the backfield.

Sean McVay is smart enough to make it work in a creative manner, and new Offensive Coordinator Kevin O’Connell will be tasked with bringing new and innovative ideas to keep the stable of running backs happy and involved in a timeshare. A timeshare is inevitable due to the amount of resources the Rams invested in both Gurley and Henderson, and is likely the smartest idea moving forward in a league that rarely deploys the “workhorse” running back any longer.
 

Dxmissile

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Gurley Henderson Brown none of them looked too good behind that offensive line so the problem isn’t the backs it’s scheme and offensive line. Fix that and watch how we get back to being the Rams we’ve come accustomed to being again
 

den-the-coach

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I need to see more of Henderson on three fronts:

Durability....Seem to be hurt when needed and it happened more than once. When they finally were going to feature him against teams at the end of the season, he was hurt and that did not endear him to me. He was hurt early in the season and then late in the season, when asked to do more, Henderson could not answer the call, so let's hope that was just bad luck in his first season.

Pass Protection....Did not seem to handle that area well in his rookie season, tended to get run over by different defensive players, including defensive backs. I'm hoping with the addition of RB Coach Thomas Brown, this will improve, because if you can't pick up the blitz or the guy that beats one of the Offensive Linemen in pass protection, you're like an appendix....Apparently Useless.

Ball Security.....A couple of hiccups, here and there and I was not a fan of the way Henderson toted the rock on occasion. Granted it was a small sample size, but I focused on this and he did not seem to carry the ball in the upper area of the arm tightly against the bicep and chest. Again, I need to see more, but that is something I believe he needs to work on.
 

OregonRamsFan

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I need to see more of Henderson on three fronts:

Durability....Seem to be hurt when needed and it happened more than once. When they finally were going to feature him against teams at the end of the season, he was hurt and that did not endear him to me. He was hurt early in the season and then late in the season, when asked to do more, Henderson could not answer the call, so let's hope that was just bad luck in his first season.

Pass Protection....Did not seem to handle that area well in his rookie season, tended to get run over by different defensive players, including defensive backs. I'm hoping with the addition of RB Coach Thomas Brown, this will improve, because if you can't pick up the blitz or the guy that beats one of the Offensive Linemen in pass protection, you're like an appendix....Apparently Useless.

Ball Security.....A couple of hiccups, here and there and I was not a fan of the way Henderson toted the rock on occasion. Granted it was a small sample size, but I focused on this and he did not seem to carry the ball in the upper area of the arm tightly against the bicep and chest. Again, I need to see more, but that is something I believe he needs to work on.
That is a pretty good assessment IMHO. I agree.
 

FrantikRam

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This is me jumping to conclusions, but I think that the one downside of becoming an immediate contender under McVay is that he's unwilling to play rookies, with the exception of Kupp and Rapp.

John Johnson - in week 5 of 2017, he took over for Mo Alexander, who was subsequently cut - something not often discussed is.....we didn't see this in training camp and practice? To have a rookie take over after 5 games isn't that unusual - but to have the guy he takes over for cut is a little strange.

2019 - Demby first off the bench over any of our rookies, who ended up far outplaying him.

The 2018 draft class didn't play much at all.

So we're left wondering what we have in all of these guys.

You can say that none were ready, but that seems like stretch.
 

Merlin

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I need to see more of Henderson on three fronts:

Durability....Seem to be hurt when needed and it happened more than once. When they finally were going to feature him against teams at the end of the season, he was hurt and that did not endear him to me. He was hurt early in the season and then late in the season, when asked to do more, Henderson could not answer the call, so let's hope that was just bad luck in his first season.

Pass Protection....Did not seem to handle that area well in his rookie season, tended to get run over by different defensive players, including defensive backs. I'm hoping with the addition of RB Coach Thomas Brown, this will improve, because if you can't pick up the blitz or the guy that beats one of the Offensive Linemen in pass protection, you're like an appendix....Apparently Useless.

Ball Security.....A couple of hiccups, here and there and I was not a fan of the way Henderson toted the rock on occasion. Granted it was a small sample size, but I focused on this and he did not seem to carry the ball in the upper area of the arm tightly against the bicep and chest. Again, I need to see more, but that is something I believe he needs to work on.
Agreed. I would, however, note that pass pro is something rookie RBs tend to struggle with, so I would expect that to improve as he fully invests in the scheme in this next camp. Also re: ball security it's a very small sample size and he wasn't a ball security problem in college in a large sample size.

Also--and again we're dealing with sample size issues--I really liked his elusiveness in the face of penetration in the run lanes and offensive backfield, where he turned what should have been stuffs on multiple occasions into gains. That is something Gurley doesn't really do any more btw, he tends to get tackled when there's defenders in the backfield before he gets rolling.

So for me it's all about the durability. Which you can't solve or verify during the offseason. Thus the translation as I see it is the Rams need to draft a back for the depth chart who can be trusted to eat carries when Gurley can't go. We can't trust Gurley, Hendy, or Brown to stay healthy. Rams will 100% draft a back at some point IMO.
 

UKram

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I’ve said it before .. Gurleys regression and lack of progression with Hendo is the number one reason Skip Peete lost his job .. sure the o line was a mess but maybe ol skip was resting on his laurels

I was probably one of the biggest Gurley critics on here last season (in so much as his attitude wasn’t right /not the same as primo Gurley from previous years ..hopefully Gurley and Hendo come out all guns blazing next season
 

CGI_Ram

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This is me jumping to conclusions, but I think that the one downside of becoming an immediate contender under McVay is that he's unwilling to play rookies, with the exception of Kupp and Rapp.

John Johnson - in week 5 of 2017, he took over for Mo Alexander, who was subsequently cut - something not often discussed is.....we didn't see this in training camp and practice? To have a rookie take over after 5 games isn't that unusual - but to have the guy he takes over for cut is a little strange.

2019 - Demby first off the bench over any of our rookies, who ended up far outplaying him.

The 2018 draft class didn't play much at all.

So we're left wondering what we have in all of these guys.

You can say that none were ready, but that seems like stretch.

I can see how it would be hard to work a lineman in, if the starters are healthy... but playmaking roles.... yeah, we should have seen more of Henderson.

Roles like that you put packages for them. At 39 carries, Henderson didn’t get enough.
 

Soul Surfer

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I just wasn't super impressed with Darrell.
It seems like we could have used our first third on the best available running back and have that other third to pick up a good inside linebacker.

Hopefully I'm wrong and he makes the Pro Bowl but he looked fairly average to me.
Especially when you consider we got Malcolm Brown as a free agent.
 

kurtfaulk

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I just wasn't super impressed with Darrell.
It seems like we could have used our first third on the best available running back and have that other third to pick up a good inside linebacker.

Hopefully I'm wrong and he makes the Pro Bowl but he looked fairly average to me.
Especially when you consider we got Malcolm Brown as a free agent.

None of the rbs looked impressive. But we do know that two of them looked very impressive the years before. So if they didn't look good last season it's hard for Henderson to look any better.

.
 

fanotodd

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Henderson just doesn't look big enough to handle 20+ touches week in and week out (if he were being considered to one day take over as the primary back). That means there not only has to be a solid #2, but that guy would have to be of a starting back quality. HE might be getting 20 touches sometimes.

So if the plan is to let Brown walk and save some$$, the Rams need to look at a legit replacement for him.

As for Henderson's actual talent, I saw flashes but not really enough of a sample set to really make a fair comment.
 

OntarioRam

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As has been said, we basically used two third round picks on Henderson, so if he continues this lack of impact, that is a pretty damaging miss. Still too early to judge, though. Especially with the OL being what it was last season. I'll wait until the end of the 2020-21 season before passing judgment.
 

BriansRams

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My opinion is... He'll be very very very good. Worth the two 3rd rounders. Did not get enough playing time last year likely because it would have upset Gurley. I promise you he'll be very good for us this season. Henderson is going to be of high value to the offense.
 

Soul Surfer

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None of the rbs looked impressive. But we do know that two of them looked very impressive the years before. So if they didn't look good last season it's hard for Henderson to look any better.

.
That's a good point, as far as none of our running backs looked that good.

But I was mostly thinking I wasn't that impressed with him in the open field once he got past the blockers.

He didn't look as fast or as elusive as I would have hoped.

And I think we know why Gurley didn't look as good.
If they all look much better this year behind a more experienced offensive line I will gladly eat crow.
And even hope to eat crow.:censored:
 

So Ram

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Henderson is a question mark, but he should get better. The Rams still need an upgrade & Les Snead knows it now.
Les has been a one ball, one back guy. I liked D. Cook coming out of FSU. Les didn’t care, he was one back one ball. It wouldn’t have worked out as well the way The Rams drafted, and I’m always for a good trade back.
2017 was an excellent draft & 2020 should be as well.
 

Merlin

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My biggest concern is WHEN will the Rams draft a back. Hopefully not early, due to the fact there are backs well into this draft who can round out our depth chart and make sure we have a guy to eat carries (Perine, Dillon, etc).

Looking just at 52... RB tends to slide a bit, you have your freak types who are total packages who seem to end up going mid first round and it goes that way from there. So Swift, Taylor, Dobbins are the guys I feel are first round backs but you also have Akers (explosive) right behind them and Edwards as more of a classic physical/balanced runner. I presume Edwards will be there at 52 for sure given he's not a big passing game threat even though his hands are adequate.

I doubt 5 backs are off the board before we pick. So RB will likely have value. Also btw I doubt the Rams take a back there, but just saying it's like wideout where maybe it will be hard for them to pass on if they are more concerned about Gurley than they're letting on.