Wanted to share this from another site I frequent

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Kind of goes into something I posted last night. If there are any sports bettors on the forum hopefully you aren't falling into this...



Scamdicappers are a person or group of people that know much more about high pressure selling than they know about handicapping sporting events and they’ll utilize that skill to con anyone out of their money with no remorse or conscience whatsoever.

Meet Jack Price. He's here to bury your bookmaker. He once promised to blow his brains out if the football predictions he gave out to customers on his gambling-advice phone line were wrong. They were, but he and his brains are still with us. Meet Ron Bash, a.k.a. the Coach. He's here to pound your bookie. His ads say he took his team to the Final Four. Did he mention that the Final Four he took them to was in high school?

Meet Kevin Duffy. He once bragged in a New York Daily News ad, "I'm coming off a great weekend and as s usual, all my customers crushed [their] bookmakers." Too bad the ad was delivered to the News's offices before any of the games were played. In a world of cheats, cons, grifters, swindlers, carnival barkers and people you would not want to change your fifty, the brotherhood of so-called sports advisors is a gutter unto itself. Consider the service that told its clients that because of a late change in the weather, they should bet the Kansas City Chiefs that day. Only problem-as Phil Mushnick pointed out in his New York Post column-was that the Chiefs were playing in Seattle, indoors, Or consider Final Score Sports, a nationally advertised service that once picked the Cleveland Browns to beat the Cincinnati Bengals on a Monday night. Unfortunately, the game was the Denver Broncos at the Buffalo Bills. Then there was the guy whose ad listed his brilliant 10-year record for Monday Night Football. Oddly, he had been in business for only five.

This is an industry in which duplicity is the leading economic indicator.

It is also a business in which profits can be enormous. Some services are believed by at least one close observer of the industry to make as much as $1 million annually. Last year the people at the New York City Department of Consumer Affairs looked into the advertising practices of the sports-adviser business and came away with their hair on end. "These have been among the most egregious, outrageous claims we've ever encountered," says a department attorney, Fred Cantor.

The idea of sports advisers seems square enough. For a fee of about $300 a month, you call a guy who's really in the know about sports-particularly football-on his 800 number, and he tells you whom to bet on and how much to wager. Or you ring his 900 line, and for about $10 to $50 per call, he'll give you-most often in a recorded announcement-the one or two games that weekend on which he thinks you can make a score. The average gambler could use a leg up, right?

Not this kind. SI took a two-month test drive through the world of sports-advisory services and found misleading ads, bait-and-switches, repeated claims of fixes coming down, misrepresentation of records, unforgivably high-pressured sales techniques, phone harassment, phone threats, phony guarantees, mail fraud, wire fraud and some perfectly dreadful manners. Two years ago the Lombardi Sports Wire, a handicapping service based in Oceanside, NY, sent out different letters to two groups of its customers. One group was urged to take Pitt over Notre Dame in a "blowout," and the other was urged to take Notre Dame over Pitt in a "blow out." Apparently Lombardi felt strongly both ways. Splitting games 50-50 like that is known in the biz as "double-siding". It's the oldest trick in the handicapper's very thick book.
Here's how it works: The tout service gives out both sides of a game, ensuring 50% of the callers will receive a winner and as a result, those 50% will fork out more money next week. The following week they’ll do the same and now 25% of the people that have called have gone 2-0 and are now ready to hand out big bucks. Hopefully, you’ll be one of those people that went 0-1 and won’t be conned into dishing out more money. Again, if you’re using a service right now, drop them and take your wins or losses and then thankfully lose their phone number.
They may as well be trying to sell you winning lottery numbers because that’s pretty much the extent of their skill level.

Another common ploy is to sell you a game in which you pay only after you win. Understandably, that can be attractive and enticing. After all, what do you have to lose? Except that the same tactic will be used, whereas the tout service will give half the players one side and the other half the other side, thus guaranteeing themselves that 50% of the people that called will pay for the advised pick or for an upcoming pick. For those that received the winning side, they be sure to tell you how they proved themselves to you and now, with a winner in your pocket, they’ll pressure you to pay for this week’s “Blowout Winner of the Year”.

These touts, who are largely unregulated, try to come off as near clairvoyants who routinely hit 75% to 90% of the games on their lists. But the honest handicappers who allow themselves to be monitored independently are lucky to break 52.38%, which, with a bookie's 10% commission on losses, is the break-even point for the gamblers. The touts call themselves Bobby Cash, Edmund Slick, the Swami, Dr. Bob, Action Man, Bill (Get) Wells and Bob Winsmore. Very few names, as you may have gathered, are real. The services claim to have the latest in computer and satellite technology, as well as inside info from a sprawling network of scouts, trainers (Jeff Allen Sports claimed to have "200 trainers on our payroll"), reports, traveling secretaries, coaches and even athletes. In reality, what they usual have are six salesmen in a 10 x 12 office working banks of phones while the boss sits with the Gold Sheet on his lap, a hole in his shoe and a wild guess on his mind. Most advisers have no computer, no satellite, no sources and no more of a clue about whom to pick in tonight's game than your uncle Wolfgang.

"I remember once a guy needed a bailout game real bad," says a former salesman for a major tout operating out of New York City. "He was buried, so he wanted to put two or three dimes [$2000 or $3000] down on something good. I said I had a lock for him. I put him on hold, and I went into my boss's office and I said, 'Who do you want to pick, the Jets or Minnesota?' And he said, 'Take Minnesota. My mom likes purple.' So I gave this poor sucker Minnesota based on some lady's favorite color. He lost."

Ripoffs Rule the Roost, Exhibit A: the Professor's seven-days-a-week 900 Econ-O-Phone. For only $2 for the first minute and $1 for every minute after that, the Professor (Ed Horowitz, a 49-year-old former cocaine addict who claims he taught a course in taxation one year, part-time, at the New York City campus of Pace University) promises to give his "essential" selections. We tried it. For the first seven minutes, we heard a tape of the Professor-who babbled like a man at a podium looking for his notes-plugging his other phone lines and dispersing bits of gambling theory that never quite went anywhere. Finally, he came to the pick we'd paid for. Guess what it was-the New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears game from two nights before. He urged us to take the high side of the over-under (38); the total score of the game was 32 (Chicago won 19-13). It is not a good sign when you are picking games two days late and still screwing them up.


In the history of sports handicapping contests held in Las Vegas or elsewhere, never has a winner, in 25 years of documented contests, hit at a rate of 65% over an entire season of one sport. It’s never happened before yet there are hundreds of services that claim they hit at 70% or better. It’s simply ludicrous to believe that and the best thing you can do is take this advice and never seek out the assistance of any service that charges for picks.
 

lasvegasrams

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There are many of these guys in Vegas who actually have their own shows on radio, just scam in different ways!!!

For example, let's make a hypothetical game: Eagles at Cowboys, week 3

Eagles coming off two bad losses to bad teams (let's say Panthers and Chargers), so they're 0-2.

Cowboys had two hard games that they barely won (let's say Falcons and Broncos), and are 2-0

The scamdicapper doesn't feel comfortable laying the 6.5 points, so he will say how lucky the cowboys are and that the panthers and chargers are good teams, etc. making the line 4.5 or even 3.5 when ALL ALONG he knows that the Cowboys will demolish the Eagles.

Same thing goes for lines (maybe more often), for those that are not familiar with lines, let's say that same Eagles and Cowboys game at the beginning of the week is PHI at DAL (-180). That means you have to put $180 down on Dallas to win $100. If the scamdicapping radio dude blasts Dallas all week and says BET BET BET Philly, and the public starts betting on Philly, it could go to PHI at DAL (-130) by Friday, meaning for the same game five days later, you can bet more on Dallas for a discount ($130 vs $180 earlier in the week). Imagine how much $$$ if you think in tens, hundreds of thousands!!

It's hard to prove who does it and who does not scam when it comes to radio, just like stock market speculation goes.

....and I apologize about the long ass reply
 

albefree69

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I enjoyed both of you, and I never have and never will make a bet in my life. :ayup:
You can always tell when someone is writing about something he loves.
 

Stranger

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[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_JtYF9jk2Y[/youtube]
<a class="postlink" href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0417217/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0417217/</a>
 

lasvegasrams

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albefree69 said:
I enjoyed both of you, and I never have and never will make a bet in my life. :ayup:
You can always tell when someone is writing about something he loves.

:cheese: Just like anything, moderation is key. If you change your mind about never betting, parlay cards (betting multiple games and spreads correctly on a card) are a great way to spend 10-20 bucks and get excited at a vegas sportsbook! better than those thieving slot machines!! :mrgreen:
 

albefree69

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The house always wins in the long run. Plus, I can't afford to lose. :lol:
 
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  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #7
lasvegasrams said:
albefree69 said:
I enjoyed both of you, and I never have and never will make a bet in my life. :ayup:
You can always tell when someone is writing about something he loves.

:cheese: Just like anything, moderation is key. If you change your mind about never betting, parlay cards (betting multiple games and spreads correctly on a card) are a great way to spend 10-20 bucks and get excited at a vegas sportsbook! better than those thieving slot machines!! :mrgreen:

While I will agree that this may be "fun", parlays are never a good investment in any gambling situation. Especially in the NFL, way too much parity. I do agree though that moderation is key. Remember a non wager is as good as a win in most circumstances (ie, you should never bet a game just to have some action). My advice would be to set a goal and only wager as a means to an end.
 
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albefree69 said:
The house always wins in the long run. Plus, I can't afford to lose. :lol:

First, see the last sentence in my previous post. Next, the house doesn't always win! Sure they will beat the public the majority of the time. Therefore it is best to go against the public MOST of the time.
 

lasvegasrams

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DegenR(g)ambler said:
lasvegasrams said:
albefree69 said:
I enjoyed both of you, and I never have and never will make a bet in my life. :ayup:
You can always tell when someone is writing about something he loves.

:cheese: Just like anything, moderation is key. If you change your mind about never betting, parlay cards (betting multiple games and spreads correctly on a card) are a great way to spend 10-20 bucks and get excited at a vegas sportsbook! better than those thieving slot machines!! :mrgreen:

While I will agree that this may be "fun", parlays are never a good investment in any gambling situation. Especially in the NFL, way too much parity. I do agree though that moderation is key. Remember a non wager is as good as a win in most circumstances (ie, you should never bet a game just to have some action). My advice would be to set a goal and only wager as a means to an end.

wise words.

unfortunately fun almost never equals smart :bummed:
 

albefree69

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DegenR(g)ambler possibly misreading my post:
First, see the last sentence in my previous post. Next, the house doesn't always win! Sure they will beat the public the majority of the time. Therefore it is best to go against the public MOST of the time.

We'll just have to agree to disagree here because the house does always win. In the long run. That "long run" part is the key. Individual wins are meaningless unless you can quit while you're ahead. When you love gambling you can't do that which means the house eventually always gets that back. IMO of course. :bg: There's a whole city built on that very premise called Las Vegas. You might have heard of it no? :ahight:
 
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albefree69 said:
DegenR(g)ambler possibly misreading my post:
First, see the last sentence in my previous post. Next, the house doesn't always win! Sure they will beat the public the majority of the time. Therefore it is best to go against the public MOST of the time.

We'll just have to agree to disagree here because the house does always win. In the long run. That "long run" part is the key. Individual wins are meaningless unless you can quit while you're ahead. When you love gambling you can't do that which means the house eventually always gets that back. IMO of course. :bg: There's a whole city built on that very premise called Las Vegas. You might have heard of it no? :ahight:

i understand what you are saying and im not claiming to have never had a losing year. my point is that by playing against the public, or with the "house", you increase your chances of hitting at a better percentage. this can only be done by watching public percentages and line movements. hell, i rarely even watch sporting events that i play on. just wake up the next morning and check the internet or newspapers. its a thrilling life...*insert sarcasm*
 

nighttrain

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Any place or person who takes bets of any magnitude on football takes the vig, that 10 % can give a really good payday, anything more is just frosting. take it from an old bookie
train