Rams at Saints

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CGI_Ram

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IT’S GAME DAY!

The GDT is a live thread tradition here at ROD.

While we all get fired up watching the game, please remember our core principles; we always show respect for our team and each other.

Despite the emotional highs and lows watching a game, we will moderate this thread with that in mind, however please refrain from name calling. This applies to players, the Rams organization, and others.

This is the core rule of the GDT. Moderators are tasked to issue thread bans, at a minimum, to maintain this standard.

This is our team. Win or lose. Good days and bad.

Go Rams!
 

CGI_Ram

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https://athlonsports.com/nfl/los-angeles-rams-vs-new-orleans-saints-prediction-picks-2018

Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints


In what could be a potential NFC Championship Game preview, the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints will face off in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome Sunday afternoon. The Rams (8-0) are the only undefeated team remaining and they needed a little bit of help last Sunday against Green Bay to keep their record unblemished. The Saints ran their win streak to six in a row with an impressive victory in Minnesota last Sunday night.

Los Angeles defeated Green Bay 29-27 at home last week, but it wasn't easy. Greg Zuerlein's 34-yard field goal with 2:05 remaining gave the Rams a 29-27 lead. Ty Montgomery then fumbled the ensuing kickoff instead of taking a knee in the end zone, which Los Angeles recovered and then ran out the clock to win their third game this season by three or fewer points.

New Orleans didn't have to sweat nearly as much in beating Minnesota 30-20 to exact some payback for last season's NFC Divisional Playoff loss courtesy of the "Minneapolis Miracle." The Saints didn't need much help from Drew Brees to defeat the Vikings, as he threw for a season-low 120 yards with one touchdown and his first interception of the season. Instead, it was the running game and two critical turnovers (including a pick-six) forced by the defense that fueled the victory.

The Rams lead the all-time series, 41-33, beginning with the Saints’ first regular season game in franchise history. For games in New Orleans, the Rams lead 19-17. These teams have split their six most recent meetings dating back to 2009.

Los Angeles at New Orleans

Kickoff: Sunday, Nov. 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Spread: Rams -1

Three Things to Watch

1. Todd Gurley vs. the Saints’ run defense


In practical terms, Gurley is the Rams’ rushing attack. He has averaged exactly 100 yards per game on the ground. No one else on the Rams’ roster has compiled more than 200 rushing yards over the course of the season. He has rushed for 11 touchdowns while the rest of the team has none.

The Saints’ rushing defense is the stingiest in the NFL. They have permitted the fewest yards on the ground per game (74.1) and per rushing attempt (3.2). They have allowed opponents only 29 first downs by rushing, second fewest in the NFL. New Orleans has allowed more than 100 yards on the ground just once — to Tampa Bay in the season opener — and that game remains their only loss.

2. Drew Brees vs. the Rams’ pass defense

Drew Brees threw for less than 200 yards for only the 17th time in a game in which he played beyond the first quarter with the Saints. As the result on Sunday showed, such a low total does not necessary spell doom for New Orleans. Actually, the Saints have a record of 10-7 in those cases.

The Rams have invested in building their defensive line into the foundation of its solid defense. In April, they signed high-profile free agent Ndamukong Suh who has defensed two passes, recovered two fumbles and recorded 22 tackles, including three sacks, this season. Aaron Donald, selected in the first round of the 2014 draft by the Rams, leads the team with 10 sacks. In 2012, they used a first-round draft pick for Michael Brockers, who has 17 solo tackles and a sack this season.

Los Angeles has kept opposing passing offenses under control, more or less. They rank 10th in terms of fewest passing yards allowed per game (230.5) with two opponents being held below 150 yards. They are tied for 11th for fewest passing touchdowns surrendered (12). They are tied for 14th for interceptions with seven.

3. Jared Goff vs. the Saints’ pass defense

Opponents have pressured Goff enough to reduce his passing productivity. He has thrown for less than 300 yards in four games this season. In half of those he was sacked five times. He has been sacked 2.1 times per game on average and at least once in all eight games so far. Both the Broncos and the Packers dropped him for losses on five plays. In those two games, he threw for fewer than 300 yards and under 55 percent completion rate. Only one other opponent (Oakland in the season opener) has held him under both thresholds this year.

The Saints’ pass defense has some reasons to suspect its effectiveness. They have sacked opponents’ quarterbacks 17 times, tied for 23rd in the NFL. Their five interceptions rank as fifth lowest. How much will Marcus Davenport’s absence due to an injured toe diminish the Saints' defensive line?

Final Analysis

The result of this game will likely affect playoff seeding in the NFC. The Saints already hold the head-to-head tiebreakers against the current leaders of the NFC East (Redskins) and the second-place team in the NFC North (Vikings). The winner of this game appears to be on track to secure the top seed in the NFC playoffs.

Both teams have played outstandingly though not perfectly so far. Their defenses rank high in multiple categories but still have some exploitable weaknesses. Their offenses have balanced attacks. This match-up has the look of an epic battle that deserved a primetime audience.

Prediction: Saints 27, Rams 24
 

CGI_Ram

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This comes from Saints territory, which gives a take from their perspective which is interesting;

https://www.theadvocate.com/new_orl...cle_7ee96a54-dfc8-11e8-8546-a3dbe961d211.html

Saints gameday preview: Rams to be biggest challenge of season yet

After an extended, successful road trip, the New Orleans Saints return home to their biggest test of the 2018 season so far in the Los Angeles Rams Sunday.

Get a preview of the game, including analysis of both teams, injury reports and expert predictions below.

FOUR DOWNS

Stepping up

Trey Hendrickson was the subject of a lot of hype during the offseason for standing out during a handful of practices during training camp. He’s been inactive most weeks this season but should have the opportunity to prove what he can do with Marcus Davenport out of action.

Big test

The Saints have one of the best run defenses in the NFL this season. It has been tested at times along the way, but there is no bigger test than Los Angeles’ Todd Gurley. The Rams running back has dominated at times. If New Orleans can keep him contained, the run defense will have nothing left to prove.

Shut him down

Marshon Lattimore started building his reputation last year by completely erasing Brandin Cooks when the two were matched when the Saints played the Patriots. Perhaps they will get another opportunity to go at it again this week. Lattimore has nothing left to prove, but eliminating big plays will be important.

Stay strong

The New Orleans offensive line often shuts down big-name pass rushers, but there aren’t many opponents that have the firepower in the trenches that the Rams possess. The Saints will need to be aware and remain organized up against what is one of the best pass rushes the NFL has to offer.

FILM STUDY

How do the Saints plan to attack the Rams' creative passing offense?

The Saints have a huge task this week up against one of the more creative passing offenses in the NFL.

The Rams do a lot of things that are different from how the rest of the league does them, and that is going to a challenge for a New Orleans secondary that is still trying to find its way after adding cornerback Eli Apple to the mix ahead of last week’s game against the Minnesota Vikings.

“They are in a lot of tight splits – reduced splits,” Saints coach Asshole Face said. “Rarely do you see receivers outside the numbers. … So, they do a good job with their formations and kind of giving you a few different looks and running maybe three different plays off a similar formation.

“So you have to pay attention closely to what they’re trying to get to and sometimes that’s more challenging.”

The Rams are currently seventh in the NFL with 291.8 passing yards per game. Quarterback Jared Goff, who has thrown for 2,425 yards on 67.6 percent passing, also ranks seventh with a 112.5 passer rating.

Not that the Saints need any reminding of what Goff can do. When these two teams met last year, he passed for 354 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. The performance came with cornerback Marshon Lattimore sidelined and safety Kenny Vaccaro battling an injury that had him on the field at less than 100 percent.

It will be interesting to see how New Orleans goes about defending the Los Angeles receivers. Last week against the Vikings, with Apple playing his first game, the team essentially played sides instead of Lattimore following a receiver as they typically do.

Los Angeles might not even have that type of receiver who needs that kind of attention, and sticking to sides could benefit Apple as he continues to work up to speed. The biggest test for the secondary might be slot receiver Cooper Kupp.

Kupp will likely be the responsibility of P.J. Williams, who had some issues in coverage early last week, but Kupp is a different kind of athlete than Stefon Diggs or Adam Thielen. While he will present challenges, they won’t be the same as they were against the Vikings.

WHO HAS THE EDGE?

When the Saints pass

Advantage: Saints

The Rams have had some issues in the passing game against quality opponents this season.

When the Saints run

Advantage: Saints

The Rams haven’t done a good job stopping the run this season, which should create an advantage.

When the Rams pass

Advantage: Rams

This is a potent passing attack. The Saints need to make sure everyone is on the same page.

When the Rams run

Advantage: Saints

The Saints will face their biggest test of the season up against Todd Gurley.

Special teams

Advantage: Saints

This game will put two of the best punts in the NFL up against one another.

NUMBERS TO KNOW

22

Sacks by the Rams this season

3.2

Yards per carry allowed by the Saints

4.8

Yards per carry averaged by the Rams

54

Pressures by Rams DT Aaron Donald

INJURY REPORT

Saints

Out: DE Marcus Davenport (toe)

Rams

Questionable: CB Sam Shields (illness)

EXPERT PREDICTIONS

Nick Underhill

Saints 34, Rams 28

The Saints are rolling. This is going to be the biggest test of the season, no doubt, but this New Orleans team looks hard to beat. Drew Brees will likely have to throw it more than he did a week ago, but No. 9 can still get it done.

Rod Walker

Saints 31, Rams 28

If there was ever a game to pick against the Saints, it would be this one. The Rams are loaded with a solid Player of the Year candidate on both sides of the ball. But the Saints are hot and the Dome crowd will make things difficult for the visitors from the West Coast. Saints, perhaps a late Wil Lutz field goal, find a way to win this one.

Scott Rabalais

Saints 31, Rams 27

The very definition of a game that could go either way, the Saints’ body of work earns them the nod here. The Rams are a tough out, but everyone in the NFL loses sometime. They will remember this one come playoff time when figuring out home-field advantage.

VIDEO PREVIEWS



 

HX76

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Special teams advantage to the Saints?? Yeah alright.

Come on you RAMS.......destroy this lot in there own back yard.
 

Mikey Ram

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Oddity...When I last checked the Rams were +1 to +1 1/2...Just checked across the board they are -1 to -2 1/2...That strikes me as a bit weird...
 

CGI_Ram

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On a side note, I kind of find it annoying the “experts” assume Aaron Rodgers would have driven down the field (to victory) had they not fumbled at the end of regulation last week.

I don’t know... my chips were on OUR DEFENSE then. We beat them either way.

That’s material Wade and company need to be using to lock in this defense. Let’s kick some ass today!
 

Ramhusker

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Yep, time to bring the big game to the big easy! I love it when everybody picks against us! Let's go Rams! Smack the "who dat" off their arses!!!!
 

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show-me-your-war-face.jpg
 

FaulkSF

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On a side note, I kind of find it annoying the “experts” assume Aaron Rodgers would have driven down the field (to victory) had they not fumbled at the end of regulation last week.

I don’t know... my chips were on OUR DEFENSE then. We beat them either way.

That’s material Wade and company need to be using to lock in this defense. Let’s kick some ass today!
Didn't someone post a stat last week that Rodgers was 0-25 when needing a score on the last drive against a team with a winning record?
 

OregonRamsFan

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I CAN’T HARDLY WAIT FOR THIS GAME. This is a BIG game and it’s time for another test. I’m hoping Dante Fowler, I think he plays today, will help collapse the pocket, bringing the big hurt on Brees in the big easy. They will be saying “Who dat?”, “Who dat?” in the dome and the introduction to Mr. Fowler will be complete.

I am looking forward to one hell of a game. Go Rammers!!! Beat dem Aints.
 

RhodyRams

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Playoff atmosphere..no doubt about it
 

JRobinson

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I love how the dude of "The Advocate" is a homer and bias of his hometown team. Ill be sure to call him out when we come out and punch them in the mouth and walk out with a W. Lets go!
 

Ants

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I like the fact that the Rams are the away team. I think they play better on the road.
I'm at work, but we have plenty of tv's here to watch...as long as FOX carries the game here in NJ.
 

Adi

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Today's my 30th birthday, this win would be a great gift!
 

CGI_Ram

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How I’m feeling right now...

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fearsomefour

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I expect Payton to pull out all the stops if he need to, including trick plays. Flea flicker, a WR throwing a pass, a fake kick. He will know that the Saints NEED homefield to make a Super Bowl run.
I am looking forward to seeing if Fowler has an immiate impact.....he doesn't need sacks, although that would be great. Moving Brees off his spot and God help him, making him step up in the pocket would be enough.
 

CGI_Ram

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I expect Payton to pull out all the stops if he need to, including trick plays. Flea flicker, a WR throwing a pass, a fake kick. He will know that the Saints NEED homefield to make a Super Bowl run.

I expect this as well...

Therefore, we should expect McVay is looking for it too.