One Game At a Time, but...

[BriansRams]

Check out this graph showing % of chance to make the playoffs since 1995 till now.

IF we can beat the fairy-niners tomorrow, then according to 23 years of statistics, we're 100% in the playoffs.

I know, I know, one game at a time.
I know, I know, any given Sunday and "anything can happen" but ... it's cool to look at that graphic and see where we currently are!



Look where the Seahawks currently are at 3-3.

 

[1maGoh]

Check out this graph showing % of chance to make the playoffs since 1995 till now.

IF we can beat the fairy-niners tomorrow, then according to 23 years of statistics, we're 100% in the playoffs.

I know, I know, one game at a time.
I know, I know, any given Sunday and "anything can happen" but ... it's cool to look at that graphic and see where we currently are!



Look where the Seahawks currently are at 3-3.


View attachment 26741

Where did you get that? I feel like that chart is sketchy at best.

According to the chart, no team has ever been 11-4 and lost the last game. 11-4 teams have 100% made the playoffs, but 11-5 teams have only been 98% of the time.

So every 11-4 team has won their last game and everyone who has ever been 11-5 was 10-5 the week before. Seems weird to me.

 

[fearsomefour]

So.......
YOURE SAYIN THERES A CHANCE??!!

 

[ArkyRamsFan]

Heh!! fairy-niners now that's funny! lol

~ArkyRamsFan~

 

[Karate61]

Where did you get that? I feel like that chart is sketchy at best.

According to the chart, no team has ever been 11-4 and lost the last game. 11-4 teams have 100% made the playoffs, but 11-5 teams have only been 98% of the time.

So every 11-4 team has won their last game and everyone who has ever been 11-5 was 10-5 the week before. Seems weird to me.

I think the chart works like this. Any team that's been 11-4 has made the playoffs with a record of 12-4 or 11-5 at the end.

But, then you have a team that was 10-5, that wins game 16 and ends at 11-5, but they were never 11-4. Like an end around on this chart to get to 11-5.

If you look at 10-5, it's not 100%. It's just shy at 96%.

So this chart shows that 2% of the time, an 11-5 team didn't make the playoffs. I think the 11-5 Pats in 2008 or so were the one team. This reduces the 11-5 percentage to 98%.

So, instead of reading the chart right to left, you have to kind of zig zag at times. Again, picture a team at 10-5 that wins their last game to reach 11-5, but doesn't win the division and loses out on the wild card. This only happened once too.

 

[BriansRams]

Yeah, what he said. I think the chart is correct even though it can seem weird.
I think the strongest and easiest to understand part for me is the unbeaten column. It's interesting what percentage is as a team goes from 5-0, 6-0, 7-0, 8-0 etc.

SF Fairy-Niners are going down.

 

[Loyal]

I think the chart works like this. Any team that's been 11-4 has made the playoffs with a record of 12-4 or 11-5 at the end.

But, then you have a team that was 10-5, that wins game 16 and ends at 11-5, but they were never 11-4. Like an end around on this chart to get to 11-5.

If you look at 10-5, it's not 100%. It's just shy at 96%.

So this chart shows that 2% of the time, an 11-5 team didn't make the playoffs. I think the 11-5 Pats in 2008 or so were the one team. This reduces the 11-5 percentage to 98%.

So, instead of reading the chart right to left, you have to kind of zig zag at times. Again, picture a team at 10-5 that wins their last game to reach 11-5, but doesn't win the division and loses out on the wild card. This only happened once too.

*drinks beer...blinks.

 

[Loyal]

Keeping it one game at a time....
Green Bay
New Orleans
Seattle
Kansas City

Better have another beer...

 

[BriansRams]

Starting 7-0 statistically gives you 100% chance of making the playoffs.
Just sayin.

 

[RamFan503]

So.......
YOURE SAYIN THERES A CHANCE??!!

View: https://youtu.be/zMRrNY0pxfM

 

[Mojo Ram]

Starting 7-0 statistically gives you 100% chance of making the playoffs.
Just sayin.

Being 6-0 and clearly the best team in this division with the likes of SEA, SF and AZ fumbling for their car keys is all i need to know that we're getting in. Division winner guarantees that.

 

[Mojo Ram]

If there's anyone here that sees a scenario where the Rams don't win this division i'm all ears.
Aside from Armageddon-like injuries of course....

 

[LesBaker]

If there's anyone here that sees a scenario where the Rams don't win this division i'm all ears.
Aside from Armageddon-like injuries of course....

Even then they only need to win 3 more games after today to win the division..........maybe 3 including today.

 

[OC_Ram]

Keeping it one game at a time....
Green Bay
New Orleans
Seattle
Kansas City

Better have another beer...

This stretch Is laden with perilous pitfalls.

 

[Merlin]

That chart makes perfect sense. I mean we can lose half our games the rest of the way after a 6-0 start and still finish 11-5. With a 7-0 start it's almost assured, barring an epic falloff.

So from this point forward everything's about injuries (avoiding them and gettin Talib back) and continued development of our young QB. Goff had a bit of the deer in the headlights thing going on last year in his first playoff game, think he's going to be ready to go this time around.

 

[LesBaker]

This stretch Is laden with perilous pitfalls.

I'll send out a warning LOL.

 

[-X-]

This stretch path Is laden peppered with perilous pitfalls.

FIFY

 

[RhodyRams]

Keeping it one game at a time....
Green Bay
New Orleans
Seattle
Kansas City

Better have another beer...

starting to sound like me


we're on to..ummm...LA