Marcus Mariota Contract Value

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CGI_Ram

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I am SO GLAD he is not our QB. I am not saying “he’s bad”, because he’s not... but I wouldn’t want to pay him franchise money when it sure looks like he’s more middle tier.

Nearly impossible for a team to get a good value on his next contract, IMO.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...riota-100-million-man-plus-leveon-bells-value

Marcus Mariota = $100 million man?

Is Marcus Mariota really a $100 million quarterback?

On the surface, the No. 2 overall pick of the 2015 NFL Draft checks numerous boxes as a franchise quarterback, with an enviable combination of size, speed, athleticism and arm talent. Displaying solid leadership skills and big-game moxie (remember last January's road playoff win in Kansas City?), Mariota appears to be the right kind of quarterback to lead the Tennessee Titans' blue-collar outfit for the next decade.

"You notice good football players on the road when you're scouting, and he was a guy that had a quiet confidence about him, that distributed the football well, that had a unique balance of arm talent and athleticism and just thought he was going to be a really good football player," Titans general manager Jon Robinson said about his franchise quarterback during an interview on the Jim Rome Show in 2016 shortly after being hired by Tennessee.

While all of those factors are certainly true, Mariota still has been an inconsistent player over the past few seasons. At this point, quantifying his value as a franchise quarterback is no easy task.

The fourth-year pro sports a 23-26 career record as a starter, with a 62.5 percent career completion rate, a 65:39 touchdown-to-interception ratio and an 88.8 passer rating. Over the past 23 regular-season games -- going back to the beginning of the 2017 campaign -- the TD-to-INT ratio sits at 20:20, with only five games above a 100.0 passer rating during that span. Certainly not eye-popping statistics for a so-called franchise quarterback, which is why the Titansface something of a conundrum when it comes to the franchise's future plans at the game's most important position. Mariota is poised to play on his fifth-year option in 2019, at a rate of $20.9 million, but he could be tracking toward inking a deal worth more than $25 million annually when all is said and done.

That's a whole lot of cheese for a quarterback who currently ranks 37th in passing yards per game (187.2), behind the likes of Dak Prescott (214.4), C.J. Beathard (208.7), Brock Osweiler (207.8) and Ryan Tannehill (194.4). Mariota's 89.9 passer rating puts him behind Derek Carr (93.5), Eli Manning (92.7), Prescott (90.8), Alex Smith (90.7) and Andy Dalton (90.7). Considering how much hate the football world spews on many of those other passers, you can see the dilemma facing the Titans when making a decision on how to value their QB1 in the current marketplace.

Is an average quarterback worth $100 million dollars or should the team look for another QB1?

"He's not a Tier 1 or Tier 2 quarterback, but you have to keep him," an NFC personnel director told me. "It's hard to find an elite quarterback in this league, so you have to continue to build around him and hope that he develops into an upper-echelon player with the right supporting cast in the right system."

With that in mind, the Titans have attempted to build around their young quarterback. They've invested a ton of draft capital and free-agent dollars in offensive skill players, and they brought in a new offensive coordinator (Matt LaFleur) with a scheme designed to maximize Mariota's talents. After a slow start to the 2018 season, where the QB slogged through six straight games with a passer rating under 100.0, Mariota has posted dazzling figures of 119.9 and 125.0 over the past two weeks -- easy wins over the Cowboys and Patriots. Mariota has posted a 69.8 percent completion rate with a 4:0 TD-to-INT ratio during this span.

Studying the All-22 Coaches Film of those performances, Mariota is at his best when he plays like an athlete at the quarterback position. He flourishes when he is able to throw on the move on bootlegs and scrambles. Mariota has a knack for finding open receivers on second-reaction plays, when the defense breaks down as he flees the pocket. In addition, the 25-year-old is a spectacular runner who's quite adept at executing the zone-read and other designed QB run concepts on the perimeter. Although his injury history prevents the Titans from extensively utilizing these concepts, Mariota's elusiveness and explosiveness as a runner add a dangerous element to the offense.

From the pocket, Mariota is at his best making quick-rhythm throws to the perimeter. He excels throwing quicks and in-breaking routes at short and intermediate range. He also shows impressive accuracy, touch and anticipation tossing post-corners to receivers down the field. Mariota consistently places his passes on the proper shoulder along the boundary, which makes it hard for defenders to make a play on the ball.

From a critical standpoint, Mariota remains a little inconsistent as a passer from the pocket. He misses a handful of layups each game -- which is odd, based on his feathery touch and solid instincts. In addition, Mariota hasn't shown opponents that he can consistently pick apart a defense with a surgeon's precision from the pocket. Granted, he is still acclimating to a new scheme and play caller, but his inconsistent stretches are more user error than poor play design.

That said, Mariota is certainly good enough to win games in this league. He is a mobile playmaker with the potential to be a true difference-maker as a dual-threat quarterback. No. 8 needs to continue to refine his game as a passer, but he's trending in the right direction in Tennessee's current system.

From a monetary standpoint, the Titans should bite the bullet and pay market rate for their young QB1, based on his potential and the dearth of other enticing options available. With an average quarterback class in the 2019 draft and a bunch of ho-hum prospects heading toward the free-agent market, Tennessee is better served investing in its young QB1 and continuing to add pieces around him to help him play winning football from the pocket. This approach has served Alex Smith's employers well during the latter part of his career, and it certainly could help the Titans remain a fringe contender with a quarterback offering a similar game.
 

jjab360

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If a QB like Mariota gets 25 mil AAV, you have to shudder at what kind of number Goff's agent is cooking up.

Hopefully he'll be seeing enough Hollywood endorsement dough to where he can afford to take a hometown discount.
 

JRobinson

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He’s not worth $100M. Period. If he gets anywhere close to that, we are in trouble with trying to get a resonalble deal on Goff potentially.
 

LesBaker

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I am SO GLAD he is not our QB. I am not saying “he’s bad”, because he’s not

I think he is pretty bad, I think that 1/2 overall is going to be talked about as a disaster after the Bucs cut Winston.

"He's not a Tier 1 or Tier 2 quarterback, but you have to keep him," an NFC personnel director told me. "It's hard to find an elite quarterback in this league, so you have to continue to build around him and hope that he develops into an upper-echelon player with the right supporting cast in the right system."

This is a really dumb thing for a personnel director to say. He's not a tier one or two, which means he is not very good. Yet you have to keep him? And the reason is it's hard to find an elite QB.

So why not try someone else? Instead they will give him a contract and for the next two or three years he will be the same, and they will lose games because of it.

I'm SO glad Snead is the opposite of this knucklehead.
 

Merlin

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And this is where I enjoy looking back at all the chatter about how Goff & Wentz were inferior to Mariota & Winston. Maroons I tell ya. :p
 

Merlin

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This is a really dumb thing for a personnel director to say. He's not a tier one or two, which means he is not very good. Yet you have to keep him? And the reason is it's hard to find an elite QB.

What is really entertaining is the teams that think Jared's success is proof all you need is a top offensive mind to turn a QB into gold. Which is nonsense of course. You need both. At some point they're going to realize they were simply wrong about Goff, and that the Rams were right. THEN the top mind was added to work with him.

Mariota is never going to be an accurate QB who can consistently deal from the pocket. But that aside he's probably an ok fit with a defensive head coach like Vrabel who won't ever be able to hold onto top offensive minds due to how quickly they're promoted out when they excel. Run that high school offense (ground 'n pound) a la Fisher or Carroll and have a guy who can make plays with his feet.
 

Ram65

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Studying the All-22 Coaches Film of those performances, Mariota is at his best when he plays like an athlete at the quarterback position. He flourishes when he is able to throw on the move on bootlegs and scrambles. Mariota has a knack for finding open receivers on second-reaction plays, when the defense breaks down as he flees the pocket. In addition, the 25-year-old is a spectacular runner who's quite adept at executing the zone-read and other designed QB run concepts on the perimeter. Although his injury history prevents the Titans from extensively utilizing these concepts, Mariota's elusiveness and explosiveness as a runner add a dangerous element to the offense.

This is his game. Too bad he hasn't been healthy and limit his run option game. It doesn't seem like he would be stay healthy enough to do this. If he could stay healthier he could be dangerous.



From a critical standpoint, Mariota remains a little inconsistent as a passer from the pocket. He misses a handful of layups each game -- which is odd, based on his feathery touch and solid instincts. In addition, Mariota hasn't shown opponents that he can consistently pick apart a defense with a surgeon's precision from the pocket. Granted, he is still acclimating to a new scheme and play caller, but his inconsistent stretches are more user error than poor play design.

Haven't seen enough to see these misses to judge. He still is young enough to get better in the pocket. The games I've seen last year against the Rams and Hags he played good. He was making lots of plays against the Hags in game he won.

Was the alternative to not resigning him? Not any good ones.

Keep him and give him more weapons with the Vrabel defense.
 
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This is his game. Too bad he hasn't been healthy and limit his run option game. It doesn't seem like he would be stay healthy enough to do this. If he could stay healthier he could be dangerous.





Haven't seen enough to see these misses to judge. He still is young enough to get better in the pocket. The games I've seen last year against the Rams and Hags he played good. He was making lots of plays against the Hags in game he won.

Was the alternative to not resigning him? Not any good ones.

Keep him and give him more weapons with the Vrabel defense.
Winning as many games as possible and winning the Super Bowl are two different goals. It comes down to risk reward. Mariota plays a high-floor, low-ceiling game with his running around and middling arm. They can build around that, and maybe they'll build an all-time defense and win it all like the Ravens did. (The Seahawks example doesn't count because Wilson >>> Mariota.) But in most years it's impossible to compete with teams that take a risk and hit the jackpot like the Rams.
 

Ram65

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Winning as many games as possible and winning the Super Bowl are two different goals. It comes down to risk reward. Mariota plays a high-floor, low-ceiling game with his running around and middling arm. They can build around that, and maybe they'll build an all-time defense and win it all like the Ravens did. (The Seahawks example doesn't count because Wilson >>> Mariota.) But in most years it's impossible to compete with teams that take a risk and hit the jackpot like the Rams.

What is the alternative?

Do they not resign him?

Then should they tank for 1-? years and hope everything lines right to draft a Franchise Quarterback early in the draft if there is one?

Do they get lucky and draft a franchise quarterback later in the draft?
 

FaulkSF

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If I'm the Titans GM I watch MM very closely for the remainder of the season. If he continues to perform well, franchise him. See how he plays out through 8 games and then offer him a contract.

This may also indicate the Titans would need to draft a QB in rounds 2-3 in 2019 if things do not pan out.
 

Angry Ram

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Marcus Mariota has been the skewered by the criticism police.

Not every QB is going to be in the Aaron Rodgers level, and not every QB is gonna magically make a team a SB contender. That's not reality. You need more.

Marcus has been hurt this year, has no sense of a running game, and his WRs are pretty meh (except it looks like Corey Davis is finally coming around).

He's also in a 1st year HC. Let them settle before judging them. This is the part for the NFL I can't stand. No patience at all. #criticismpolice.