How big of a loss to LA Rams roster was PK Matt Gay?

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ROD-BOT

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How big of a loss to LA Rams roster was PK Matt Gay?​

There have undoubtedly been numerous conversations already among the decision-makers of the LA Rams organization, and those decisions clearly have decided that the best strategy for the team at this point in time is to downsize the Rams roster in terms of veteran players, with an eye to return to the NFL Free Agency market with some spending cash in 2024 or beyond.

While we did point out the fact that the LA Rams are unlikely to find another kicker in 2023 who can match the plug-and-play performance of Pro Bowler kicker Matt Gay, one of the readers of that article was kind enough to share some additional insight into the vale of Matt Gay to the Rams success. In short, he pointed out that without Matt Gay on the roster, the LA Rams may never have won Super Bowl LVI.

Matt Gay Competitive Index​

So I wanted to test out that theory because I love intriguing insight. How many wins were directly influenced by Matt Gay's ability to kick accurately? So I set up a mental exercise, one that seems simple enough, to test the theory. Since arriving with the LA Rams, any games with close scores will trigger consideration for a Matt Gay Index. If the Rams won by a margin that was equal to or less than the number of points scored by Gay, Gay earns credit for the win.

Inversely, if the LA Rams lost a closely scored game, and the margin of victory could have been met had Matt Gay successfully kicked extra points, then Matt Gay earns credit for the loss. Yes, there is no way that I would argue one player as responsible for either wins or losses, but the objective is to determine the Rams competitive edge with Matt Gay on the Rams roster. All clear? Let's dig

Did Matt Gay give the LA Rams a competitive edge?​

So let's dial back the calendar and examine the nuts and bolts of the Rams 2020, 2021, and 2022 schedules in terms of those games that were decided by Matt Gay:

2020 Regular Season - 1 win

W 11/23 vs. Buccaneers
- The Rams won this one by a score of 27-24, and Gay contributed nine points with two field goals and three extra points.
2020 NFL Playoffs - 1 win

W 1/9 vs Seahawks
- The Rams won this one by a score of 30-20. In the details of this game, the Rams relied on Matt Gay to kick three field goals and three extra points. 12 points.

2021 Regular Season - 5 wins

W 9/18 vs Colts
- Rams win 27-24. Gay puts up 9 points
W 9/25 vs Buccaneers - Rams win 34-24. Gay puts up 10 points
W 12/23 vs Cardinals - Rams win 30-23. Gay puts up 12 points.
W 12/ 26 vs Vikings - Rams win 30-23. Gay puts up 12 points in this one.
W 1/2 vs Ravens - Rams win 20-19. While Gay missed his lone FG attempt, he did make two extra points, which proved to be the margin of victory.

2021 NFL Playoffs - 3 Wins

W 1/23 vs Buccaneers
- The Rams continued winning in the Playoffs with a 30-27 victory. Matt Gay missed one FG, but hoofed three field goals and three extra points to score 12 points.
W 1/30 vs 49ers - The Rams finally defeat the 49ers by a score of 20-17, and Gay kicked two field goals and two extra points to put 8 points on the scoreboard.
W SB LVI vs Bengals - The LA Rams won this one by a score of 23-20. Thanks to Gay, who kicked a field goal and two extra points, the Rams win this one.

2022 Regular Season - 3 Wins

W 9/18 vs Falcons
- The Rams won this game by a score of 31-27, and Matt Gay kicked a field goal and four extra points.|
W 9/25 vs Cardinals - The Rams defeated the Cards by a score of 20-12, and Matt Gay supplied the eight points with two field goals and two extra points that were the margin of victory
W 12/18 vs Raiders - The Rams defeated the Raiders by a score of 17-16 in a late-game comeback by quarterback Baker Mayfield. But it was Matt Gay's field goal and two extra points that sealed a win.

What did we learn from this exercise? Perhaps the most shocking discovery made was not the fact that the LA Rams can attribute nine regular season wins and four postseason wins to Matt Gay. Rather, the Rams cannot point to a single game that the team lost due to Gay's inability to kick the football through the uprights. By contrast, the Rams had at least one loss in seven games attributable to former kicker Sam Sloman.

Matt Gay never lost a game for the LA Rams. Will the team be able to sale the same about their next kicker? I, for one, certainly hope so.
 

Elmgrovegnome

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Gay is a big loss. Teams need good kickers in the playoffs, because games are often close.

Letting Gay sign elsewhere may be an indicator that, despite what they say to reporters, the Rams don’t believe that they are a playoff team.
 

oldnotdead

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Good PK are hard to find. There is a big difference between college and the NFL. The failure rate among rookies is high. The example of Younghoe Koo the Falcon's kicker. Signed by the Chargers in 2017 he melted down and barely made 50% even when they were chip shots. Fast forward to 2020 and his percentage was almost 95% including 8-8 at 50+. Look at the hard time they had finding Gay and how he was let go by the Bucs.

Gay was well over 90% his last two years. A good PK can win games, a bad one can lose games. I hope they can get a good replacement. That is why I think they draft one in the 5th round along with a punter.
 

madrid311

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How big of a loss to LA Rams roster was PK Matt Gay?​

There have undoubtedly been numerous conversations already among the decision-makers of the LA Rams organization, and those decisions clearly have decided that the best strategy for the team at this point in time is to downsize the Rams roster in terms of veteran players, with an eye to return to the NFL Free Agency market with some spending cash in 2024 or beyond.

While we did point out the fact that the LA Rams are unlikely to find another kicker in 2023 who can match the plug-and-play performance of Pro Bowler kicker Matt Gay, one of the readers of that article was kind enough to share some additional insight into the vale of Matt Gay to the Rams success. In short, he pointed out that without Matt Gay on the roster, the LA Rams may never have won Super Bowl LVI.

Matt Gay Competitive Index​

So I wanted to test out that theory because I love intriguing insight. How many wins were directly influenced by Matt Gay's ability to kick accurately? So I set up a mental exercise, one that seems simple enough, to test the theory. Since arriving with the LA Rams, any games with close scores will trigger consideration for a Matt Gay Index. If the Rams won by a margin that was equal to or less than the number of points scored by Gay, Gay earns credit for the win.

Inversely, if the LA Rams lost a closely scored game, and the margin of victory could have been met had Matt Gay successfully kicked extra points, then Matt Gay earns credit for the loss. Yes, there is no way that I would argue one player as responsible for either wins or losses, but the objective is to determine the Rams competitive edge with Matt Gay on the Rams roster. All clear? Let's dig

Did Matt Gay give the LA Rams a competitive edge?​

So let's dial back the calendar and examine the nuts and bolts of the Rams 2020, 2021, and 2022 schedules in terms of those games that were decided by Matt Gay:

2020 Regular Season - 1 win

W 11/23 vs. Buccaneers
- The Rams won this one by a score of 27-24, and Gay contributed nine points with two field goals and three extra points.
2020 NFL Playoffs - 1 win

W 1/9 vs Seahawks
- The Rams won this one by a score of 30-20. In the details of this game, the Rams relied on Matt Gay to kick three field goals and three extra points. 12 points.

2021 Regular Season - 5 wins

W 9/18 vs Colts
- Rams win 27-24. Gay puts up 9 points
W 9/25 vs Buccaneers - Rams win 34-24. Gay puts up 10 points
W 12/23 vs Cardinals - Rams win 30-23. Gay puts up 12 points.
W 12/ 26 vs Vikings - Rams win 30-23. Gay puts up 12 points in this one.
W 1/2 vs Ravens - Rams win 20-19. While Gay missed his lone FG attempt, he did make two extra points, which proved to be the margin of victory.

2021 NFL Playoffs - 3 Wins

W 1/23 vs Buccaneers
- The Rams continued winning in the Playoffs with a 30-27 victory. Matt Gay missed one FG, but hoofed three field goals and three extra points to score 12 points.
W 1/30 vs 49ers - The Rams finally defeat the 49ers by a score of 20-17, and Gay kicked two field goals and two extra points to put 8 points on the scoreboard.
W SB LVI vs Bengals - The LA Rams won this one by a score of 23-20. Thanks to Gay, who kicked a field goal and two extra points, the Rams win this one.

2022 Regular Season - 3 Wins

W 9/18 vs Falcons
- The Rams won this game by a score of 31-27, and Matt Gay kicked a field goal and four extra points.|
W 9/25 vs Cardinals - The Rams defeated the Cards by a score of 20-12, and Matt Gay supplied the eight points with two field goals and two extra points that were the margin of victory
W 12/18 vs Raiders - The Rams defeated the Raiders by a score of 17-16 in a late-game comeback by quarterback Baker Mayfield. But it was Matt Gay's field goal and two extra points that sealed a win.

What did we learn from this exercise? Perhaps the most shocking discovery made was not the fact that the LA Rams can attribute nine regular season wins and four postseason wins to Matt Gay. Rather, the Rams cannot point to a single game that the team lost due to Gay's inability to kick the football through the uprights. By contrast, the Rams had at least one loss in seven games attributable to former kicker Sam Sloman.

Matt Gay never lost a game for the LA Rams. Will the team be able to sale the same about their next kicker? I, for one, certainly hope so.
nice post. I was a huge Gay fan, but I loved me some Zuerleine as well. An then he wasnt so good and we moved on from him. I never Imagined we would find a kicker as good as the leg. then Gay happened. what a surprise, was fun to watch. hell, he wasnt starting for any team when we picked him up and the rest is history. so may be its not that hard to find another Gay out there in kicker land. go rams.
 

Selassie I

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gay GIF
 

thirteen28

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Pretty big if we don't get a reliable kicker - something I don't take for granted. The nightmare at K in 2020 before we signed him is not forgotten.
 

FrantikRam

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All of his 2021 playoff kicks were makeable by 75% of NFL kickers
 

TSFH Fan

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Seeing how this off season has gone, signing Matt Azaiza as the replacement would be perfect.
 

JonRam99

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Wow wheels are really falling off this team. Took 2 nail-biting seasons for them to find Gay.
Rams couldn't resign him? is the AD and/or MS contract really that big of an albatross?
 

Turducken

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Wow wheels are really falling off this team. Took 2 nail-biting seasons for them to find Gay.
Rams couldn't resign him? is the AD and/or MS contract really that big of an albatross?
It's not the stafford contract.
That one is in line with value.

AD's extension was borderline extortion. Maybe he can play up to its value (if anyone could it would be him).