Fumble luck/Field Goal luck/Record in one score games

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FrantikRam

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Many people pointed to how lucky the Rams were last year in these three categories - we recovered an inordinate amount of our forced fumbles (and offensive fumbles), our opponents missed FGs at a rate that was kind of insane, and we rocked it in one score games.

I dismissed the record in one score games because many were misleading - such as the Broncos game last year - we were up 17 and ended up winning by 3 after garbage time.

But on the flip side, it would be disingenuous to ignore the win over the Packers last year as pertaining to this type of luck. Same for the game in Seattle, where a late holding call pushed them back and helped us force a punt, which lead to the QB sneak.

Which brings me to this: wins and losses are fluky. If that FG was 6 inches to the left, we'd be 4-1 and Seattle's season would basically be over.

I love how the team played last night and we're experiencing a little regression in the luck category - which I have no problem with. Heck, I even prefer it - adds some adversity for these guys to overcome. Especially when it's a road game - despite us being better than Seattle, you really shouldn't be a division rival on the road if they are at least an average football team. We all remember how often we beat Seattle when they were going to Super Bowls and we were winning 6-7 games.
 

coconut

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Which brings me to this: wins and losses are fluky. If that FG was 6 inches to the left, we'd be 4-1 and Seattle's season would basically be over.
At 3-2 in week 6 no team's season "would basically be over".
 

FrantikRam

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  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
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At 3-2 in week 6 no team's season "would basically be over".


From the standpoint of winning a Super Bowl for the Seahawks it would be, which is ultimately what their fans want, even though it's not realistic. A home loss to us would have guaranteed they weren't winning the NFC West, which means all road playoff games. Season over for them.
 

coconut

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From the standpoint of winning a Super Bowl for the Seahawks it would be, which is ultimately what their fans want, even though it's not realistic. A home loss to us would have guaranteed they weren't winning the NFC West, which means all road playoff games. Season over for them.
I disagree. Still too early. Still too many divisional games to play.