OFFENSE
Scoring: Saints 22.1 ppg (12th) Rams 23.4 (9th)
Passer Rating: Saints 92.5 (14th) Rams 90.9 (16th)
Yards per Rush: Saints 3.7 (29th) Rams 4.4 (8th)
Third Down: Saints 38.27% (17th) Rams 41.88% (10th)
Redzone (TD): Saints 52% (21st) Rams 60.47% (10th)
DEFENSE
Scoring: Saints 19.1 ppg (6th) Rams 22.1 (19th)
Passer Rating: Saints 74.4 (2nd) Rams 86.2 (13th)
Pressure %: Saints 19.2% (24th) Rams 18.2% (28th)
Yards per Rush: Saints 4.5 (27th) Rams 4.2 (15th)
Third down: Saints 34.87% (4th) Rams 38.22% (16th)
Redzone (TD): Saints 52.63% (13th) Rams 52.38% (12th)
This game looks like a real coin flip to me. Both teams have been very inconsistent. Rams are stronger on offense, Saints stronger on defense. Rams have a QB in top form right now, Saints have consistently made QBs look shit.
Advantage I see for the Rams is that the Saints don't have the pressure front type that gives the Rams fits. That Pressure % stat is a combined stat that includes hurries, knockdowns, sacks, which I like because it shows overall physicality to some extent. Some defenses are just nasty and harder to play against from that perspective for the QB. Saints defense is not like that. That stat also btw showed the Ravens were not like that (they were also bottom third). So for matchup purposes I think the Rams OL will do a good job overall, they should have advantage in run and pass.
Advantage for the Saints is that like the Ravens they're quite good on the back end, disciplined and hard on QBs. That might negate this roll Stafford is on to some extent. Also on offense they have a WR (Olave) that I think is dangerous though he's been hurt. QB is not an advantage for them typically but he is coming off a strong outing and is streakier than Stafford in bad ways but if we get the good version we're in a shootout. Kamara is noteworthy in that he's still gonna get his hundred yards split between pass and run, and he's not the guy he used to be but can still hurt you.
Overall just like I said with the Ravens this is a tough matchup for Stafford. He'll have to be sharp for us to get the dub. Defensively I think the Saints are a lot different without Olave, so a lot probably hangs on whether he's up. But I would expect us to put good pressure on them on offense, and then sit back and wait for their QB to fuck up, as a gameplan. Definitely a winnable game but this is going to feel like a playoff game. Saints are gonna be tough.