Projecting Jared GOFF's Preseason & 2016 Regular Season Stats

[Florida_Ram]

Projecting Jared GOFF's Preseason & 2016 Regular Season Stats

As we follow Jared Goff's rookie preseason and his first NFL regular season, I listed the statistics (minus rushing) for all of the QB's drafted from 2012 through 2015. I only listed the QB's (9 total) that played in the Regular Season their rookie year and are still the Projected Starters for the 2016 season.

I thought this would be a good barometer for comparing and tracking Goff's progress and maybe give a glimpse of possibly what to expect from him in the regular season. All eyes are about to be on him as he gets ready to perform in his first NFL preseason game Saturday vs the Cowboys at the LA Coliseum.

Obviously for all rookie QB's in their first NFL season, the talent level & supporting cast of the team that drafted them, along with the Offensive Scheme and pedigree of their coaching, surely played a Large Part in their rookie development and overall statistics.

As you look over each QB's Preseason stats by individual games, you can see that some of the rookie QB's for various reasons, were given more snaps and had more pass attempts. Regardless of their preseason stats, it was their Regular season statistics that Jared Goff will be compared to at the end of his 2016 campaign.


Recent Rookie QB's NFL PRESEASON & REGULAR SEASON HISTORY (2012-2015)


Andrew LUCK (2012 #1 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Games Stats

WK1.. 10/16.. 188 Yds.. 2 TD.. 0 INT
WK2.. 16/25.. 175 Yds.. 0 TD.. 2 INT
WK3.. 14/23.. 151 Yds.. 1 TD.. 0 INT
WK4.... 1/2.......... 8 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT

2012 SEASON: ATT 339/627.. % 54.1.. 4,374 Yards.. YPA.. 7.0.. 23 TD.. 18 INT.. RATING 76.5
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Robert GRIFFIN III (2012 #2 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1... 4/6..... 70 Yds.. 1 TD.. 0 INT
WK2... 5/8..... 49 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK3. 11/17... 54 Yds.. 1 TD.. 0 INT
WK4..... 0/0 (did not play)

2012 SEASON: ATT 258/393.. % 65.6.. 3,200 Yards.. YPA.. 8.1.. 20 TD.. 5 INT... RATING 102.4
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Ryan TANNEHIL (2012 #8 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.. 14/21.. 167 Yds.. 1 TD.. 0 INT
WK2.. 11/23.. 100 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK3.. 11/27.. 112 Yds.. 0 TD.. 1 INT
WK4.... 5/7........ 34 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT

2012 SEASON: ATT 282/484.. % 58.3.. 3,294 Yards.. YPA.. 6.8.. 12 TD.. 13 INT.. RATING 76.1
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Russell WILSON (2012 #75 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.. 12/16.. 124 Yds.. 1 TD.. 1 INT
WK2.. 10/17.. 155 Yds.. 2 TD.. 0 INT
WK3.. 13/19.. 185 Yds.. 2 TD.. 0 INT
WK4... 5/11....... 72 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT

2012 SEASON: ATT 252/393.. % 64.1.. 3,118 Yards.. YPA.. 7.9.. 26 TD.. 10 INT.. RATING 100.0
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Blake BORTLES (2014 #3 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.... 7/11.. 117 YDS.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK2.. 11/17.. 160 YDS.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK3.. 10/17.. 158 YDS.. 1 TD.. 0 INT
WK4.... 4/6....... 86 YDS.. 1 TD.. 0 INT

2014 SEASON: ATT 280/475.. % 58.9.. 2,908 Yards.. YPA.. 6.1.. 11 TD.. 17 INT.. RATING 69.5
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Teddy BRIDGEWATER (2014 #32 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.... 6/13.... 49 Yds... 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK2.. 16/20.. 177 Yds.. 2 TD.. 0 INT
WK3.... 4/7....... 40 Yds... 2 TD.. 0 INT
WK4.... 4/9....... 17 Yds... 1 TD.. 0 INT

2014 SEASON: ATT 259/402.. % 64.4.. 2,919 Yards.. YPA.. 7.3.. 14 TD.. 12 INT.. RATING 85.2
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Derek CARR (2014 #36 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.. 10/16... 74 Yds.... 0 TD.. 1 INT
WK2... 9/16.. 109 Yds.... 1 TD.. 0 INT
WK3.... (did not play)
WK4.. 11/13.. 143 Yds.. 3 TD.. 0 INT

2014 SEASON: ATT 348/599.. % 58.1.. 3,270 Yards.. YPA.. 5.5.. 21 TD.. 12 INT.. RATING 76.6
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Jameis WINSTON (2015 #1 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.. 9/19.. 131 Yds.. 0 TD.. 1 INT
WK2.. 8/13.... 90 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK3.. 6/15.... 90 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK4..... (did not play)
_
2015 SEASON: ATT 312/535.. % 58.3.. 4,042 Yards.. YPA.. 7.4.. 22 TD.. 15 INT.. RATING 84.2
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Marcus MARIOTA (2015 #2 overall pick)

QB Rookie Preseason Game Stats

WK1.... 7/8... 94 Yds.. 0 TD.. 1 INT
WK2.... 5/8... 59 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK3... 7/11.. 99 Yds.. 0 TD.. 0 INT
WK4.... 2/3... 74 Yds.. 1 TD.. 0 INT

2015 SEASON: ATT 230/370.. % 62.2.. 2,818 Yards.. YPA.. 7.6.. 19 TD.. 10 INT.. RATING 91.5
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Summary: When you look at each rookie QB's individual preseason games, for various reasons (total snaps, injury prevention etc) some of the QB's were allowed to throw the ball 15-20 times, while others had only 12 or less passing attempts.

If Goff gets 2 quarters of playing time vs the Cowboys he might get 15 or more passing attempts in his debut depending on the circumstances of the game. As you all know, various factors will determine how many snaps and pass attempts Fisher allows before the rookies evening is done.


PRESEASON STATS FOR THE ROOKIE QB's of (2012-2015)

1) T.BRIDGEWATER 30/49.. 283 Yards.. 5 TD.. 0 INT
2) R.WILSON............. 40/63.. 536 Yards.. 5 TD.. 1 INT
3) D.CARR.................. 30/45.. 326 Yards.. 4 TD.. 1 INT

4) B.BORTLES............ 32/51.. 521 Yards.. 2 TD.. 0 INT
5) R.GRIFFIN.............. 20/31.. 173 Yards.. 2 TD.. 0 INT
6) A.LUCK................... 41/65.. 522 Yards.. 3 TD.. 2 INT

7) M.MARIOTA.......... 21/30.. 326 Yards.. 1 TD.. 1 INT
8) J.WINSTON............ 23/47.. 311 Yards.. 0 TD.. 1 INT
9) R.TANNEHILL....... 41/78.. 413 Yards.. 1 TD.. 1 INT


REGULAR SEASON FINAL STATS For the Rookies of (2012-2015)

1) R.GRIFFIN III.......... ATT 258/393.. % 65.6.. 3,200 Yards.. YPA.. 8.1.. 20 TD... 5 INT.. RATING 102.4
2) R.WILSON................ ATT 252/393.. % 64.1.. 3,118 Yards.. YPA.. 7.9.. 26 TD.. 10 INT.. RATING 100.0

3) M.MARIOTA............. ATT 230/370.. % 62.2.. 2,818 Yards.. YPA.. 7.6.. 19 TD.. 10 INT.. RATING 91.5
4) J.WINSTON............... ATT 312/535.. % 58.3.. 4,042 Yards.. YPA.. 7.4.. 22 TD.. 15 INT.. RATING 84.2

5) T.BRIDGEWATER.... ATT 259/402.. % 64.4.. 2,919 Yards.. YPA.. 7.3.. 14 TD.. 12 INT.. RATING 85.2
6) D.CARR................... ATT 348/599.. % 58.1.. 3,270 Yards.. YPA.. 5.5.. 21 TD.. 12 INT.. RATING 76.6

7) A.LUCK................... ATT 339/627.. % 54.1.. 4,374 Yards.. YPA.. 7.0.. 23 TD.. 18 INT.. RATING 76.5
8) R.TANNEHILL.......... ATT 282/484.. % 58.3.. 3,294 Yards.. YPA.. 6.8.. 12 TD.. 13 INT.. RATING 76.1
9) B.BORTLES............... ATT 280/475.. % 58.9.. 2,908 Yards.. YPA.. 6.1.. 11 TD.. 17 INT.. RATING 69.5
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Summary: As you look at the each of the above rookie QB's Regular Season Stats, even with different team talent, offensive schemes, all of them had almost 400 passing attempts.

Marus Mariota was the low of 370 attempts due to missing games from injuries. Luck, Carr and Winston all had over 500 passing attempts.

In the regular season 6 of 9 QB's had (19) or more TD's with 3 of them Bortles (11), Tannehill (12) and Bridgewater (12) with the lowest total. 8 of the 9 QB's had at a minimum of 10 Interceptions. All of these rookie QB's had close to 3,000 passing yards with Luck and Winston topping the 4,000 mark.
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If & When They Play in a 2016 REGULAR SEASON GAME... Welcome to the NFL

Jared GOFF__________________Carson WENTZ_____________Paxton Lynch

With the first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft, "The Los Angeles Rams select"

For entertainment purposes, I thought this would be a be a good archive and stats reference to use as we scrutinize Jared Goff's rookie season.

I'm curious to know if anyone of you faithful Rams fans have an estimated guess of which of the above listed QB's Goff's Regular Season Stats might be similar with, assuming he starts all or most of 2016 season?

I would appreciate your educated opinions/estimations

Thanks for observing, Florida
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(On May 5, 2016 this was the over under odds at Bovada) not sure what they are today?

JARED GOFF – TOTAL PASSING YARDS IN 2016 REGULAR SEASON

• OVER... 3400 -120
• UNDER 3400 -120

JARED GOFF – TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS PASSES IN 2016 REGULAR SEASON

• OVER... 16.5 -120
• UNDER 16.5 -120

http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/jared-goff-rookie-season-betting-props

 

[Ram_Rally]

Excellent work. I'll say 3300 yards 16 touchdowns to 11 interceptions

 

[Merlin]

I expect his yards to be lower, maybe under 3k but no more than low 3k's range, due to Gurley.

I think he will do well on TDs because his skills translate well to the redzone. Somewhere from near 20 to low 20s.

The INTs are where he will be defined. If he can keep them low he will have a great rookie season. I expect somewhere from 13 to 18.

 

[Legatron4]

I'll say 6,381 yards 72 touchdowns and 0 picks for a QB rating of 156.6(or whatever perfect is). I swear I'm not a homer.

 

[Roman Snow]

I'll say 6,381 yards 72 touchdowns and 0 picks for a QB rating of 156.6(or whatever perfect is). I swear I'm not a homer.

Legatron, put down the crack pipe.

I'll say 3,600yds 24Tds 14 ints

 

[rdw]

3514 yards
27 tds
15 ints
Superbowl win

 

[dieterbrock]

I'll say 6,381 yards 72 touchdowns and 0 picks for a QB rating of 156.6(or whatever perfect is). I swear I'm not a homer.

C'mon man. Be a little realistic.
He's probably going to throw at least 2-3 INT

 

[Tron]

Hard to guess since we don't know if he's starting the season or riding the bench for a bit.

 

[Florida_Ram]

Hard to guess since we don't know if he's starting the season or riding the bench for a bit.

True Tron but I have faith he's going to start in preseason game #3 and if he plays well tonight, he could maybe be in the mix to start #2. I wonder if he's as nervous about this evening as I am for him this morning...

 

[Tron]

I hope you're right. Don't see it happening but it is possible and would be great.

 

[LACHAMP46]

Great work Florida....

can I wait...just a bit...I wanna see what Groh thinks of him first...I'll know more when I see the plays he runs...if I see like 6-7 fade routes deep...

Too soon to say what the coaches really think of Goff at this moment....

 

[Florida_Ram]

Great work Florida....

can I wait...just a bit...I wanna see what Groh thinks of him first...I'll know more when I see the plays he runs...if I see like 6-7 fade routes deep...

Too soon to say what the coaches really think of Goff at this moment....

I get the wait thing.. I wanted to post this next week but because I had preseason career stats of the listed QB's I thought I would sneak it in on the eve before the game.

I didn't expect many responses until Goff had a game or 2 under his belt so I figured this thread would pop up as the preseason moves forward etc..

In the same frame of mind LACHAMP, Like many posters I don't like making win loss Regular Season Predictions until the 3 preseason game is completed for injuries and various other reasons.

Anyway Less than 7 hours to go..................

I have always appreciated the Cowboys vs Rams history

 

[…..]

@Florida_Ram

man you sure put together a heluva post.

I'm going to take the under on yards and the over on TD's

Go Rams!

 

[Mikey Ram]

Not a clue, but I'll drop a wag here..So much depends on how much he plays...

3000

13

12

Hope I'm way low on the 1st 2...My biggest fear is the O line...