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PFT’s Week Six picks

Discussion in 'RAMS - NFL TALK' started by Prime Time, Oct 12, 2017.

  1. Prime Time

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    http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2017/10/12/pfts-week-six-picks-8/

    PFT’s Week Six picks
    Posted by Mike Florio on October 12, 2017

    Rams at Jaguars

    MDS’s take: I don’t think many people thought before the season that Rams-Jaguars in Week Six would be one of the best games of the day, but it is. I like the Jaguars to slow down the game with their running offense and win a low-scoring one.

    MDS’s pick: Jaguars 14, Rams 13.

    Florio’s take: The win-one, lose-one Jags are due to lose one. And since the Rams have the defense to take away the running game and the Jaguars don’t have the passing game to take advantage of it, the trend holds again.

    Florio’s pick: Rams 20, Jaguars 13.
    ---------
    Eagles at Panthers

    MDS’s take: The Eagles are probably a better all-around team than the Panthers, but Cam Newton is getting things turned around, and on a short week I think Philadelphia’s defense is going to struggle to game plan for him. Newton will have a big night both running and passing, and Carolina will win a close one.

    MDS’s pick: Panthers 24, Eagles 23.

    Florio’s take: The Eagles’ fortunes turned last year once Lane Johnson began a PED suspension. He’s out with a concussion this week, and that could be just enough to make the difference when two of the best teams in the NFC get together under the lights.

    Florio’s pick: Panthers 24, Eagles 20.
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    Bears at Ravens

    MDS’s take: The Bears made the right move benching Mike Glennon for Mitch Trubisky, but the Bears have a lot more problems than a quarterback can solve. The Ravens should win easily on Sunday.

    MDS’s pick: Ravens 20, Bears 9.

    Florio’s take: If the Ravens hope to contend this year, they need to take care of teams that are overmatched. The Bears are overmatched, and operating on a short week.

    Florio’s pick: Ravens 17, Bears 10.
    -----------
    Browns at Texans

    MDS’s take: In a league where parity reigns, the Browns somehow find a way not to regress toward the mean: They were 3-13 in 2015, 1-15 in 2016 and look worse than ever in 2017. The Texans, after a loss full of devastating injuries on Sunday, will bounce back easily.

    MDS’s pick: Texans 22, Browns 10.

    Florio’s take: Deshaun vs. DeShone get derailed by de bench.

    Florio’s pick: Texans 41, Browns 17.
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    Packers at Vikings

    MDS’s take: I’m not even sure it matters whether Sam Bradford or Case Keenum starts for the Vikings. I like Aaron Rodgers to have a big day against the Vikings’ defense.

    MDS’s pick: Packers 30, Vikings 17.

    Florio’s take: The Vikings are improving but the Packers are the Packers as they make their first of possible two visits this season to U.S. Bank Stadium.

    Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Vikings 17.
    ---------
    Lions at Saints

    MDS’s take: Matthew Stafford is the highest-paid quarterback in the NFL, but he hasn’t played like anything close to the best quarterback in the NFL. He might put up big numbers against a suspect Saints secondary, but Drew Brees will have a better day and the Saints will win.

    MDS’s pick: Saints 30, Lions 24.

    Florio’s take: Matthew Stafford is hobbled and the Saints are surprisingly stout on defense. And so the team that could have been 4-0 is in danger of falling to .500.

    Florio’s pick: Saints 27, Lions 20.
    ---------
    Dolphins at Falcons

    MDS’s take: Jay Cutler has been a mess this season, and you have to wonder why the Dolphins didn’t just go with Matt Moore after Ryan Tannehill went down. Those questions will intensify when the Dolphins lose another one on Sunday.

    MDS’s pick: Falcons 28, Dolphins 14.

    Florio’s take: The Dolphins may be getting close to getting hot, but this is a bad week to begin the effort. The Falcons are rested and getting healthy and the Dolphins aren’t ready to outscore them.

    Florio’s pick: Falcons 26, Dolphins 17.
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    Patriots at Jets

    MDS’s take: No one expected the Jets to be playing for first place in the AFC East in Week Six. Todd Bowles has done a good job putting his team in this position, but they’re not going to beat the Patriots with the division lead on the line.

    MDS’s pick: Patriots 28, Jets 17.

    Florio’s take: The Jets have been impressive this year, but the Patriots are still the Patriots, and they’re getting better on the fly. Like they always do.

    Florio’s pick: Patriots 30 Jets 20.
    ----------
    49ers at Redskins

    MDS’s take: The winless 49ers will remain winless. This is the easiest pick of the day.

    MDS’s pick: Redskins 30, 49ers 10.

    Florio’s take: Kyle Shanahan returns to D.C. with a team that is better than 0-5 would suggest, but not nearly good enough to outscore a rested Redskins team.

    Florio’s pick: Redskins 24, 49ers 13.
    ---------
    Buccaneers at Cardinals

    MDS’s take: If there’s one prediction I can state with confidence, it’s that Adrian Petersonwon’t make a difference in Arizona. The Cardinals are heading in the wrong direction.

    MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Cardinals 14.

    Florio’s take: Adrian Peterson won’t make enough of a difference after only a few days with the team. The Bucs are simply better on both sides of the ball.

    Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 27, Cardinals 14.
     
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  2. Zero

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    Pete Prisco


    Los Angeles Rams (3-2) at Jacksonville (3-2)

    4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

    This is surprisingly a big game featuring two good teams. The Jaguars lead the NFL in scoring margin, which has been keyed by their defense. This is a long trip for the Rams after a physical division game with Seattle. That's too much to overcome. Jaguars take it.

    Pick: Jaguars 20, Rams 14





    Will Brinson

    • Jaguars (-2.5) vs. Rams
      The Rams are a good team and they very well might be able to come into Jacksonville and run the ball with Todd Gurley. But if they can't and they get behind at all in this game, it is going to be a problem for Jared Goff against a dangerous Jags secondary. Meanwhile, Leonard Fournette is just a dang ANIMAL and he is going to run people over again on Sunday. I'm buying the Jags and fully expect to regret it later.

      The Pick: Jaguars -2.5
     
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  3. Zero

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    Screenshot_1.png
    Screenshot_2.png
     
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  4. Zero

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    • By Elliot Harrison
    • NFL.com Analyst


    Los Angeles Rams 24, Jacksonville Jaguars 21


    Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX

    Another close matchup. The intriguing thing about this one is that it features two teams we don't know enough about. Five games into the 2017 campaign, both seem viable, sporting matching 3-2 records with a few major improvements from last season readily apparent. The Rams' offense has been a totally different animal, although Jared Goffplayed his worst game of the season last week against the Seahawks. Granted, many a quarterback has suffered versus Seattle in recent years. Todd Gurley is enjoying a fantastic 2017. Jags rookie Leonard Fournette is right there with Gurley, putting together his own prolific campaign. Each running back could be the cog that delivers a win for his team. Throwing on Jacksonville this season sure isn't the ticket. (Just ask Big Ben.) Meanwhile, Fournette can eat clock and prevent Sean McVay's offense, which is second in points per game, from taking over. In fact, the Jags are running 55.2 percent of the time, the most by any team since the 2009 Jets. Remember that group? Went to the AFC Championship Game with the Sanchize at the helm. Running backs Thomas Jones and rookie Shonn Greene were rocking it. LAvsJAX
     
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  5. Ramrasta

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    Florio is an idiot. The Jags are due a loss because the season will follow he same pattern as the first few weeks? And the Rams run defense is bottom 3 in the league outside the game with Seattle (whose OL could make Hershel Walker look bad).
     
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  6. Prime Time

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  7. fearsomefour

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    If part of your gig was to pic games picking against west coast teams going east woukd generally serve you well.
     
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  8. DaveFan'51

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    What about East Coast Teams going West!?! Maybe Long Travels have something to do with it!
     
  9. fearsomefour

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    My understanding is the west coast teams do much worse going east than the east coast teams going west overall. Start times and body clock I think is the accepted reason.
     
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  10. Jacobarch

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    When these experts pick us to win we usually lose. It's like the Rams players spend too much time reading the sports feed.
     
  11. DR RAM

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    This game worried me more than last weeks. Jags are a very talented defense, with a ton of speed. We will have to play well to win, and not give up turnovers, and sacks.
     
  12. kurtfaulk

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    Lucky they're playing at 4pm est then.

    .
     
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  13. Prime Time

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    Is There Still a Disadvantage for NFL West Coast Teams Traveling East?
    By David Solar


    [​IMG]


    For years we have heard NFL fans and analysts unequivocally state that NFL West Coast teams struggle when traveling cross-country. This argument seems logical since the combination of long flights, strange beds and time zone changes can confuse players’ internal body clocks. People naturally experience different levels of tiredness and alertness throughout the day, which is largely regulated by our circadian biological clocks.

    Since the start of the 2003 season, West Coast teams have gone just 61-111 (35.5%) against East Coast teams.

    Several years ago we examined this trend, and we were able to confirm the belief that teams from the Pacific Time Zone (PT) had performed poorly when traveling east. Our data showed that the further West Coast teams traveled, the more their winning percentage dropped.

    Click the link below to read the rest of the article and see all the graphs.

    https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog...tage-for-nfl-west-coast-teams-traveling-east/
     
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