It goes to show how difficult evaluating a college player is, when you are trying to project them to the NFL. There are so many variables. I remember watching Watt in college and I don't think that analysis was that far off. And what did the scout really say about Kelce that was so bad? I like to read the good parts and often dismiss the bad parts. If there is a guy you really like it is easy to write the good. But it isn't so easy if you have to write something bad. I think a lot of the time the bad parts are the parts the scouts are trying to force themselves to see. The good is all that really matters.
The players supporting cast (good or bad) can easilycloud the outlook, a la Trent Richardson on the good side and maybe Allen Robinson on the bad side. We tend to undervalue players on teams that didn't have much success or we think had help to make him good. We also tend to overvalue every player on a team like Alabama due to their overall dominance. Should Isaac Bruce been a second round pick?
Some players are still in the developing stages when leaving college too. How is a scout supposed to project that? Watt falls into that category if you ask me. I know he was a first round pick but he would have been taken #1 if any GM knew what they know now.