Looking at how much the Rams will have to pay Jared Goff to re-sign him in the future

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JKBOGEN

JAKE OLIVER ELLENBOGEN
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Looking at how much the Rams will have to pay Jared Goff to re-sign him in the future

February 11, 2018 | By:Jake Ellenbogen
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It's around that time of year when everyone speculates which player their team should re-sign. Well, here's an interesting one, Jared Goff. No, it's not time to pay him but it's never too early to take a look at the future and Goff is going to cost a lot for the Rams to keep down the road.

Spotrac recently put out a market value projection for Jared Goff and here is what we got from it:

Base Calculated Value: 5 years, $125,836,310 AVG. Annually ($25,167,262)

This value is based on the simple fact of taking the contracts of QB's that happened at Goff's age of contract extension. Here is what we have:


Derek Carr: 5 years, $125,000,000 AVG. Annually ($25,000,000) - Age 26
Andrew Luck: 5 years, $122,970,000 AVG. Annually ($24,594,000) - Age 26
Matthew Stafford: 5 years, $135,000,000 AVG. Annually ($27,000,000) - Age 29
Joe Flacco: 3 years, $66,400,000 AVG. Annually (22,133,333) - Age 31

Calculated Market Value: 5 years, $106,131,242 AVG. Annually ($21,226,248)

This value is based on Goff statistically compared to the QB's mentioned above prior to signing.

Derek Carr: 96.86% of Games Played, 255.48 Passing YDs per Game, 1.94 Passing TDs per Game, 0.61 INTs per Game, 62.38 COMP%, 93.93 RTG, AVG. RTG: 86.85

Andrew Luck: 100% of Games Played, 297.56 Passing YDs per Game, 2.5 Passing TDs per Game, 1 INT per Game, 61.69 COMP%, 96.52 RTG, AVG. RTG: 86.7

Matthew Stafford: 100% of Games Played, 268.41 Passing YDs per Game, 1.75 Passing TDs per Game, 0.72 INTs per Game, 66.27 COMP%, 95.14 RTG, AVG. RTG: 81.15

Joe Flacco: 81.25% of Games Played, 260.65 Passing YDs per Game, 1.58 Passing TDs per game, 0.92 INTs per game, 63.19 COMP%, 86.98 RTG, AVG. RTG: 77.75

Jared Goff: 68.75% of Games Played, 222.41 Passing YDs per Game, 1.5 Passing TDs per game, 0.664 INTs per game, 58.34 COMP%, 82.07 RTG, AVG. RTG: 59.75

So, first of all, this is skewed a little bit. Goff only played in seven games his rookie year and he struggled mightily in them. Even after the year he just had it still wasn't enough to push his rating among the top guys. Goff shouldn't worry though, this is a QB that improved heavily in his second year and still has two more years to play and boost his stock. You may think $21M is a lot annually but in the thick of things right now? It's not. It's going to be way more if Goff continues the pace he is on after the 2017 season. You saw a QB that only started seven games at the age of 26 receive the richest contract in NFL history. If Goff can continue to improve and lead his team to the playoffs consistently and potentially win a Super Bowl he is going to be expensive and likely the highest paid player in NFL history when it's his turn. Of course, there is also Carson Wentz but Goff will be two years younger to add even more to his value. Luckily for the Rams, they will have $150,000,000 million of cap space to work with, not really, but right now that's what they have since only Alec Ogletree, Robert Woods and Johnny Hekker are signed through 2021. Tavon Austin is, but we already know his fate.
 

Ram65

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So when do the Rams give Goff a new contract?

I imagine after the fourth year which would be after the 2019 season. Jimmy G already is up to 27M a year. By the time Goff gets a new deal he could be nearing 30 Million a year. Goff wants to win so he could take a deal for a little less than going max rate. He still will get paid very well. There is a lot of time before this happens and I'm assuming Goff plays even better than this year over the next two years.
 

JKBOGEN

JAKE OLIVER ELLENBOGEN
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  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
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So when do the Rams give Goff a new contract?

I imagine after the fourth year which would be after the 2019 season. Jimmy G already is up to 27M a year. By the time Goff gets a new deal he could be nearing 30 Million a year. Goff wants to win so he could take a deal for a little less than going max rate. He still will get paid very well. There is a lot of time before this happens and I'm assuming Goff plays even better than this year over the next two years.
Yeah I just thought it was a fun thingto put out there.
 

Loyal

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We are in the QB sweet spot right now, because Goff is pretty cheap and we can load the team with talent and hopefully get a Super Bowl before that has to be reigned in......He also may be willing to take a little less if we are a Super Bowl worthy team and keeping the band together might get him (another?) Super Bowl ring.....
 

So Ram

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Yeah I just thought it was a fun thingto put out there.

Why not Gurley then ? He comes up first !!

He just won Offensive player of the year.

The Rams still need pay Aaron Donald who just won Defensive player of the year.

Just wondering how bad of a job has Les Snead done ?

Just think of all the picks The Rams gave up to get Goff. Ogletree just got paid, still don’t understand the resigningof Tavon Austin ?? I believe Fisher thought he was going to catch 100 balls .

I guess if you add 2015-16 together when Foles & Keenum knew how to get him the ball. Wonder how many passes has Goff connects s with him ?

Bottom line there will be some tough choices to make from The Rams organization.
 

Petrowsky

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Just think of all the picks The Rams gave up to get Goff. Ogletree just got paid, still don’t understand the resigningof Tavon Austin ?? I believe Fisher thought he was going to catch 100 balls .

I guess if you add 2015-16 together when Foles & Keenum knew how to get him the ball. Wonder how many passes has Goff connects s with him ?

Bottom line there will be some tough choices to make from The Rams organization.
I think Goff has connected with Austin 30 times in Goff’s 22 starts. In those 30 receptions, Austin had 226 yards and 1 TD. I might have added or missed some stuff, but I was only willing to commit 5 minutes to looking haha.
 

So Ram

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I think Goff has connected with Austin 30 times in Goff’s 22 starts. In those 30 receptions, Austin had 226 yards and 1 TD. I might have added or missed some stuff, but I was only willing to commit 5 minutes to looking haha.

That was 5 minutes well done.
I guess my point is The Rams have upgraded WR group .
 

DaveFan'51

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I think, after two more Seasons, 6 Playoff Wins, and 2 SB Wins, Goff well look at the Rams as "His Team" and give us a " Home-Town-Discount!"!! He'll sign a 6 years $127 M contract with a huge signing Bonus and a lot of Bonus $$$$ for Playoff Wins-SB Wins-Pro-Bowl and All-Pro spots!