Draft class power rankings

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Alan

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http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000492430/article/2015-nfl-draft-class-power-rankings
The best class in the 2015 NFL Draft belonged to the Minnesota Vikings.

Using NFL Media senior analyst Gil Brandt's Hot 100 prospects list as the arbiter, the Vikings were the draft's clear "winner."

First off, the Vikings selected six Hot 100 players. And when you add some math to the equation -- i.e., assigning point totals to each player depending on where he was ranked (100 points to the No. 1 player, 99 to the No. 2 player and so on) -- theVikings piled up 290 points, 42 more than the second-place team. The identity of that No. 2 team might surprise you -- and we're going to make you read on to find out who it is.

Here are all 32 teams ranked using Brandt's Hot 100 list as the ultimate draft guide.

1. Minnesota Vikings: 290 points (6 players)
Overview: The Vikings drafted six Hot 100 players, the most of any team. They got excellent value with picks in the fourth (OT T.J. Clemmings, 110th overall), fifth (WR Stefon Diggs, 146th overall) and sixth (OT Tyrus Thompson, 185th overall) rounds. Each of their first four picks were Hot 100 players (TE MyCole Pruitt, who went in the fifth round at 143rd overall, was not on Brandt's list).
The players (points)
No. 9 CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State (92)
No. 42 OT T.J. Clemmings, Pittsburgh (59)
No. 50 LB Eric Kendricks, UCLA (51)
No. 51 DE Danielle Hunter, LSU (50)
No. 76 OT Tyrus Thompson, Oklahoma (25)
No. 88 WR Stefon Diggs, Maryland (13)

2. Cleveland Browns: 248 points (5 players)
Overview: The Browns had two first-round picks and used them to select two of Brandt's top 26 players. Each of Cleveland's first five picks were Hot 100 players and the Browns got them in the first three rounds, though they didn't select them in Brandt's order. The Browns got DE Nate Orchard in the second round and RB Duke Johnson in the third round; Johnson was ahead of Orchard on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 13 NT Danny Shelton, Washington (88)
No. 26 C Cameron Erving, Florida State (75)
No. 61 RB Duke Johnson, Miami (40)
No. 65 DE Nate Orchard, Utah (36)
No. 92 DT Xavier Cooper, Washington State (9)

3. Dallas Cowboys: 237 points (3 players)
Overview: Dallas got three of Brandt's top 28 players. But how they got them is the interesting aspect of this. The Cowboys' first-round pick was CB Byron Jones -- and he was the lowest-ranked by Brandt of Dallas' three Hot 100 players. The highest-ranked was OT La'el Collins, who was signed as a free agent after teams bypassed him in the draft. Dallas got OLB Randy Gregory in the second round after he fell because of off-field issues.
The players (points)
No. 15 OT La'el Collins, LSU (86)
No. 23 OLB Randy Gregory, Nebraska (78)
No. 28 CB Byron Jones, UConn (73)

4. Atlanta Falcons: 233 points (5 players)
Overview: The Falcons drafted five Hot 100 players, including two who were in the top 30, and got them with their first five picks. Atlanta got two of their Hot 100 players on the third day with WRJustin Hardy (fourth-rounder, 107th overall) and DT Grady Jarrett (fifth-rounder, 137th overall).
The players (points)
No. 12 OLB Vic Beasley, Clemson (89)
No. 30 CB Jalen Collins, LSU (71)
No. 46 RB Tevin Coleman, Indiana (55)
No. 84 DT Grady Jarrett, Clemson (17)
No. 100 WR Justin Hardy, East Carolina (1)

5. New York Jets: 224 points (5 players)
Overview: The Jets also got five Hot 100 players, including DL Leonard Williams -- the No. 1 player on Brandt's list -- with the sixth pick of the draft. They drafted the five with their first five selections, including two excellent-value picks on the third day -- QB Bryce Petty in the fourth round (103rd overall) and G Jarvis Harrison in the fifth (152nd overall). The Jets' second-round pick was WR Devin Smith, who was the 37th overall pick. He also was ranked 37th on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 1 DL Leonard Williams, USC (100)
No. 37 WR Devin Smith, Ohio State (64)
No. 53 QB Bryce Petty, Baylor (48)
No. 91 OLB Lorenzo Mauldin, Louisville (10)
No. 99 G Jarvis Harrison, Texas A&M (2)

6. Houston Texans: 221 (3 players)
Overview: The Texans drafted just three of the Hot 100, but each was a top-39 player, so they got excellent value. Houston ended up with two of Brandt's top 22 players. CB Kevin Johnson, the Texans' first-round pick, was No. 22 on Brandt's list. But Houston drafted WR Jaelen Strong, No. 21 on the list, in the third round -- 70th overall.
The players (points)
No. 21 WR Jaelen Strong, Arizona State (80)
No. 22 CB Kevin Johnson, Wake Forest (79)
No. 39 ILB Benardrick McKinney, Mississippi State (62)

7. Chicago Bears: 216 points (5 players)
Overview: The Bears got five Hot 100 players, including two of the top 32 on Brandt's list. WR Kevin White was Brandt's No. 4 player and Chicago got him with the seventh pick. DT Eddie Goldman was Brandt's No. 32 player, and the Bears got him with the 39th pick. Chicago also got excellent value with RB Jeremy Langford (fourth-rounder, 106th overall) and S Adrian Amos (fifth-rounder, 142nd overall).
The players (points)
No. 4 WR Kevin White, West Virginia (97)
No. 32 DT Eddie Goldman, Florida State (69)
No. 77 C Hroniss Grasu, Oregon (24)
No. 87 RB Jeremy Langford, Michigan State (14)
No. 89 S Adrian Amos, Penn State (12)

8. New York Giants: 213 points (3 players)
Overview: The Giants ended up with three Hot 100 players; each was in the top 50 on Brandt's list. New York got two of Brandt's top 25, selecting OT Ereck Flowers in the first round and S Landon Collins in the second. Flowers was 16th on Brandt's list, Collins 25th. They also got good value with third-round pick Owamagbe Odighizuwa; they drafted him 74th overall, and he was 49th on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 16 OT Ereck Flowers, Miami (85)
No. 25 S Landon Collins, Alabama (76)
No. 49 DE Owamagbe Odighizuwa, UCLA (52)

9. Miami Dolphins: 201 points (3 players)
Overview: The Dolphins finished with three Hot 100 players, and each was ranked in the top 60, including two that were considered first-rounders by Brandt. Miami got DT Jordan Phillips in the second round; he was No. 31 on Brandt's list. Miami got tremendous value in RB Jay Ajayi. He was a fifth-round pick (149th overall) who was ranked No. 60 on Brandt's list. Concerns about Ajayi's knee caused his slide down draft boards.
The players (points)
No. 11 WR DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville (90)
No. 31 DT Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma (70)
No. 60 RB Jay Ajayi, RB, Boise State (41)

10. New Orleans Saints: 198 points (4 players)
Overview: New Orleans was one of two teams with two first-round picks, but using the Hot 100 as a guide, the Saintsdidn't do nearly as well as the Browns, who were the other team with two first-rounders. New Orleans chose OTAndrus Peat with its initial first-round selection and LB Stephone Anthony with its second. Anthony's selection looks like a reach, though: He went 31st overall but was ranked 56th by Brandt.
The players (points)
No. 17 OT Andrus Peat, Stanford (84)
No. 56 LB Stephone Anthony, Clemson (45)
No. 63 CB P.J. Williams, Florida State (38)
No. 70 QB Garrett Grayson, Colorado State (31)

11. Baltimore Ravens: 191 (4 players)
Overview: Despite not picking any earlier than 23rd in any of the first four rounds, the Ravens got four Hot 100 players -- one in each of the first four rounds. WR Breshad Perriman was 10th on Brandt's list, but Baltimore got him with the 26th pick. The Ravens also got good value with third-rounder Carl Davis(90th pick) and fourth-rounder Za'Darius Smith (122nd pick).
The players (points)
No. 10 WR Breshad Perriman, UCF (91)
No. 54 TE Maxx Williams, Minnesota (47)
No. 59 DT Carl Davis, Iowa (42)
No. 90 DE Za'Darius Smith, Kentucky (11)

12. Jacksonville Jaguars: 183 points (4 players)
Overview: Going by the Hot 100, the Jaguars made one of the best value picks of the entire draft with DT Michael Bennett in the sixth round. He was considered a late second-rounder by Brandt. Conversely, RB T.J. Yeldon might have been overdrafted: The Jaguars took him 36th overall, but he was 80th on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 2 Dante Fowler, Jr., OLB, Florida (99)
No. 57 Michael Bennett, DT, Ohio State (44)
No. 80 T.J. Yeldon, RB, Alabama (21)
No. 82 A.J. Cann, G, South Carolina (19)

13. Tennessee Titans: 178 (4 players)
Overview: The Titans look to have an excellent value with fifth-round pickDavid Cobb; he was drafted 138th overall, but was 86th on Brandt's list. Their other three Hot 100 players were a bit overdrafted, though, going by Brandt's rankings: QB Marcus Mariotawent second overall, WR Dorial Green-Beckham 40th and OL Jeremiah Poutasi66th.
The players (points)
No. 7 QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon (94)
No. 55 WR Dorial Green-Beckham, Missouri (46)
No. 78 OL Jeremiah Poutasi, Utah (23)
No. 86 RB David Cobb, Minnesota (15)

14. Oakland Raiders: 171 points (3 players)
Overview: The Raiders got a Hot 100 player with each of their first three picks. WR Amari Cooper (first round, fourth overall) and TE Clive Walford (third round, 68th overall) were drafted close to Brandt's ranking, but DE Mario Edwards, Jr., the second-rounder, might have been overdrafted; he went 35th but was ranked 58th.
The players (points)
No. 3 WR Amari Cooper, Alabama (98)
No. 58 DL Mario Edwards, Jr., Florida State (43)
No. 71 TE Clive Walford, Miami (30)

15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 168 points (3 players)
Overview: The Bucs nabbed three Hot 100 players in the first two rounds. While QB Jameis Winstonand OT Donovan Smith were drafted close to their rankings (in fact, Smith was taken 34th overall -- and ranked 34th on Brandt's list), OL Ali Marpet might have been overdrafted. The Bucs traded up to take him at No. 61 overall; he was 96th on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 5 QB Jameis Winston, Florida State (96)
No. 34 OT Donovan Smith, Penn State (67)
No. 96 OL Ali Marpet, Hobart (5)

16. San Francisco 49ers: 155 points (3 players)
Overview: The 49ers got Hot 100 players with each of their first three picks, but the order in which they were drafted didn't match their ranking. The first-round pick was DL Arik Armstead, who ranked 38th. The second-round pick was S Jaquiski Tartt, who ranked 74th. And the third-round pick was OLBEli Harold, who ranked 36th -- and was drafted 79th overall.
The players (points)
No. 36 OLB Eli Harold, Virginia (65)
No. 38 DL Arik Armstead, Oregon (63)
No. 74 S Jaquiski Tartt, Samford (27)

17. Washington Redskins: 149 points (2 players)
Overview: The Redskins got relatively good value with their first two picks, but that was it for Hot 100 players. They had the Nos. 95 and 105 overall picks, but didn't get a Hot 100 guy at either spot.
The players (points)
No. 8 OL Brandon Scherff, Iowa (93)
No. 45 DE/OLB Preston Smith, Mississippi State (56)

18. Denver Broncos: 143 points (3 players)
Overview: The Broncos got Hot 100 guys in each of the first three rounds. They were able to get OLBShane Ray, ranked in the top 20 by Brandt, at No. 23 because of Ray's off-field issues.
The players (points)
No. 18 OLB Shane Ray, Missouri (83)
No. 67 OT Ty Sambrailo, Colorado State (34)
No. 75 TE Jeff Heuerman, Ohio State (26)

19. San Diego Chargers: 140 points (2 players)
Overview: San Diego got Hot 100 players with each of its first two picks -- and the Chargers got them with picks that were incredibly close or right on their rankings. RB Melvin Gordon was ranked 14th by Brandt and went 15th overall. ILB Denzel Perryman was ranked 48th by Brandt -- and he went 48th overall. But third-round pick Craig Mager, a cornerback from Texas State who was the 83rd overall pick, wasn't in the Hot 100.
The players (points)
No. 14 RB Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin (87)
No. 48 ILB Denzel Perryman, LB, Miami (53)

20. Indianapolis Colts: 137 points (3 players)
Overview: Indy got three Hot 100 players, but the Colts' first-round pick might have been a bit of a reach. WR Phillip Dorsett went 29th overall, but was ranked 40th by Brandt. CB D'Joun Smith, theColts' second pick, might have been a bargain: He was 43rd on Brandt's list but went with the first pick of the third round (65th overall).
The players (points)
No. 40 WR Phillip Dorsett, Miami (61)
No. 43 CB D'Joun Smith, Florida Atlantic (58)
No. 83 DE Henry Anderson, Stanford (18)

21. Cincinnati Bengals: 136 points (3 players)
Overview: The Bengals drafted three Hot 100 players, including one they grabbed in the fourth round. Going by the Hot 100 rankings, they overdrafted Cedric Ogbuehi (drafted 21st, ranked 40th) in the first round, got a bargain with second-rounder Jake Fisher (drafted 53rd, ranked 33) and got another bargain with fourth-rounder Josh Shaw (drafted 120th, ranked 93rd). But neither of their third-round picks (Nos. 85 and 99) were Hot 100 guys.
The players (points)
No. 33 OT Jake Fisher, Oregon (68)
No. 41 OT Cedric Ogbuehi, Texas A&M (60)
No. 93 DB Josh Shaw, USC (8)

T-22. Kansas City Chiefs: 129 points (3 players)
Overview: The Chiefs had four picks in the first three rounds and came away with three Top 100 players. Interestingly, their second pick -- OL Mitch Morse, taken 49th overall -- wasn't one of them. Third-round WR Chris Conley was taken 76th overall but ranked 52nd on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 27 CB Marcus Peters, Washington (74)
No. 52 WR Chris Conley, Georgia (49)
No. 95 CB Steven Nelson, Oregon State (6)

T-22. Philadelphia Eagles: 129 points (2 players)
Overview: Philadelphia grabbed a Hot 100 player in each of the first two rounds, but the Eagles' third-round selection, Texas LB Jordan Hicks, was not ranked by Brandt. The draft spots of WR Nelson Agholor (drafted 20th) and DB Eric Rowe (47th) generally matched where they were ranked by Brandt.
The players (points)
No. 29 WR Nelson Agholor, USC (72)
No. 44 DB Eric Rowe, Utah (57)

24. Steelers: 109 points (2 players)
Overview: Pittsburgh got a Hot 100 player in the first and third rounds, but second-round pickSenquez Golson, a cornerback who went 56th overall, was not on Brandt's list.
The players (points)
No. 20 OLB Bud Dupree, Kentucky (81)
No. 73 WR Sammie Coates, Auburn (28)

25. Green Bay Packers: 103 points (3 players)
Overview: The draft slots of Green Bay's first two picks -- S Damarious Randall (drafted 30th overall) and CB Quinten Rollins (62nd) -- matched up well with their rankings in the Hot 100. But third-rounderTy Montgomery, a wide receiver, wasn't in the Hot 100. The flipside to that: Fifth-round pick Brett Hundley was taken with the 147th overall pick -- 50 spots lower than his Hot 100 ranking.
The players (points)
No. 35 S Damarious Randall, Arizona State (66)
No. 68 CB Quinten Rollins, Miami of Ohio (33)
No. 97 QB Brett Hundley, UCLA (4)

26. St. Louis Rams: 102 points (2 players)
Overview: The Rams had four picks in the first three rounds, yet came away with just two Hot 100 players. Offensive linemen Rob Havenstein (second-round pick) and Jamon Brown (third-rounder) were not in the Hot 100.
The players (points)
No. 6 RB Todd Gurley, Georgia (95)
No. 94 QB Sean Mannion, Oregon State (7)


27. Carolina Panthers: 100 points (3 players)
Overview: The Panthers got Hot 100 players with each of their first three picks -- and one of those was in the fourth round. But they appear to have vastly overdrafted LB Shaq Thompson, their first-rounder. Thompson was taken 25th overall, but he was 62nd on Brandt's list. Carolina also appears to have overdrafted WR Devin Funchess, the team's second-round pick. He went 41st overall and was ranked 69th by Brandt. Conversely, the fourth-round selection was OL Daryl Williams, who ranked 72nd but was nabbed with the 102nd pick.
The players (points)
No. 62 OLB Shaq Thompson, Washington (39)
No. 69 WR Devin Funchess, Michigan (32)
No. 72 OL Daryl Williams, Oklahoma (29)

28. Detroit Lions: 94 points (3 players)
Overview: The Lions drafted a Hot 100 player in each of the first three rounds, but they appear to have overdrafted G Laken Tomlinson, their first-rounder. He went 28th overall, but was ranked 64th by Brandt.
The players (points)
No. 64 G Laken Tomlinson, Duke (37)
No. 66 RB Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska (35)
No. 79 CB Alex Carter, Stanford (22)

29. New England Patriots: 93 points (2 picks)
Overview: The Patriots drafted two Hot 100 players and got good value with each. They selected DT Malcom Brownwith the No. 32 pick; he ranked 24th. And they got G Tre' Jackson with the 111th selection; he ranked 85th. But they had three picks in-between those two -- and none of the draftees (SJordan Richards, DE Geneo Grissomand OLB Trey Flowers) were ranked.
The players (points)
No. 24 DT Malcom Brown, Texas (77)
No. 85 G Tre' Jackson, Florida State (16)

30. Arizona Cardinals: 85 points (2 players)
Overview: The Cardinals got a Hot 100 guy in the first and third rounds. But second-round pickMarkus Golden, an edge rusher, wasn't ranked by Brandt.
The players (points)
No. 19 OT D.J. Humphries, Florida (82)
No. 98 RB David Johnson, Northern Iowa (3)

31. Buffalo Bills: 54 points (1 player)
Overview: The Bills were one of two teams without a first-round pick. Buffalo got CB Ronald Darby in the second round, with the 50th overall pick; he was No. 47 in the Hot 100. But third-round pick John Miller, a guard, wasn't ranked by Brandt.
The players (points)
No. 47 CB Ronald Darby Florida State (54)

32. Seattle Seahawks: 20 points (1 player)
Overview: Seattle was the other team without a first-round selection. The Seahawks used a third-round pick, 69th overall, on WR Tyler Lockett, who was ranked 81st by Brandt. But second-rounderFrank Clark, a defensive end, wasn't in the Hot 100.
The players (points)
No. 81 WR Tyler Lockett, Kansas State (20)
 

Akrasian

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So if teams drafted the way Brandt rated things in a team neutral way, rather than draft players who actually fit the team's system, they scored well. And if a team drafted somebody who fell for reasons that came out after Brandt rated the player (Clemming's foot, for instance) they scored well.

<shrug>

I don't know if the Rams' draft will work out - but I'd rather they drafted players that fit the team than get the best system neutral athlete. Within limits, of course.
 

SierraRam

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Like many of you who either participated in or followed our mock drafts on this forum, you're very familiar with the sexy picks in this draft. Going by all the sources I used, the Vikings, Browns, Texans and Giants had very successful drafts. We obviously targeted a certain type of OL and got our (Fisher/Snead's) guys. I won't go into what's been stated on several previous thread. Instead I'll paraphrase: The consensus was 'fix the OL' and we're good to go. This is it. I sincerely hope 'Snish' is right, but if not... :palm:
 

Alan

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  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #5
I'm not a big fan of Brandt's player analysis either but with the paucity of real news...
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OC--LeftCoast

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So if teams drafted the way Brandt rated things in a team neutral way, rather than draft players who actually fit the team's system, they scored well. And if a team drafted somebody who fell for reasons that came out after Brandt rated the player (Clemming's foot, for instance) they scored well.

:DPretty much par for the course with our draftniks here I would say, these guys put in a lot of work, no doubt it's a little more disappointing for them when some things just don't pan out.
 
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jsimcox

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That method of ranking is so flawed it's not even worth getting annoyed about.

Hot 100? Give me a break...
 

LACHAMP46

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I just have become used to Gil's rankings....I'd like to see how his comparisons/rankings/predictions have done for the last 3-4 years...Just for clarity...
 

Stel

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10. RB Gurley (6)
57. WR Strong (21)
72. OLB Harold (36)
89. OT Clemmings (42)
119. OT Collins (15)

According to Brandt's ratings [shown in ( )], based on available players when we selected, this would have been our ideal draft (through 4 rounds). 320 points, first place by 30 points. Assuming Collins was a no go based on issues outside the Brandt ratings, the 119 pick would have been QB Petty (53) and our total score 282, good enough for 2nd place.

Note: I didn't try to go past the 4th round, although some of Brandt's top 100 would still be available there. Taking Collins in the 7th would allow you to up your score.
 

SierraRam

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10. RB Gurley (6)
57. WR Strong (21)
72. OLB Harold (36)
89. OT Clemmings (42)
119. OT Collins (15)

According to Brandt's ratings [shown in ( )], based on available players when we selected, this would have been our ideal draft (through 4 rounds). 320 points, first place by 30 points. Assuming Collins was a no go based on issues outside the Brandt ratings, the 119 pick would have been QB Petty (53) and our total score 282, good enough for 2nd place.

Note: I didn't try to go past the 4th round, although some of Brandt's top 100 would still be available there. Taking Collins in the 7th would allow you to up your score.


I like this draft a lot! And we probably could have got Havenstein at 119, Brown with our next pick...
 

Alan

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Limey looking at only one aspect of the situation:
not if you believe that the Titans were going to take Havenstein at the start of the 3rd as was suggested by some...
There's two ways to look at this. As I mentioned in my initial reaction to our draft, what was left at that point in the draft at OT? While we might have drafted Havenstein much higher than his big picture (BPA) value was concerned, if you needed an OT then he was next in line without a red flag. He could very easily have been drafted two picks later by the Broncos. Only Clemmings had a higher NFL.com rating and he had significant injury concerns.

Here's the list of OTs taken in the draft when/after we picked Havenstein and their ratings:

#57 pick in the 2nd round ROB HAVENSTEIN 5.60 Ram
#59 pick in the 2nd round TY SAMBRAILO 5.45
#72 pick in the 3rd round JAMON BROWN .543 Ram
#91 pick in the 3rd round CHAZ GREEN 5.41
#110 pick in the 4th round T.J. CLEMMINGS 5.98 Injury concerns
#119 pick in the 4th round ANDREW DONNAL 5.34 Ram

Looking at that list it appears that we drafted three out of the top 5 OTs left in the draft that didn't have a red flag associated with their name. Of course we got ourselves into that position in the first place by drafting Gurley in the 1st round. Along with not addressing OT in FA.

For those of you who don't like the NFL.com ratings, you'll notice that they went in the exact rating order they gave them. Not counting the red flag player of course. Spot on eval IMO.


 
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SierraRam

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For those of you who don't like the NFL.com ratings, you'll notice that they went in the exact rating order they gave them. Not counting the red flag player of course. Spot on eval IMO.

I used CBS Sports & Walter Mock for my draft evaluations. As their 'pretend' GM, I spent a lot of time on the KC Chiefs' forums. They referred to Walter the most...

I've said all along that we got the type of guys Fish and Snead wanted. I just didn't see any of these picks coming. Usually, I guess our draft a little closer to reality, but honestly, who the F am I?!! :)
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